Buy Or Sell Apple Stock Ahead Of Q3 Earnings?

Group 1 - Apple is expected to announce fiscal Q3 2025 earnings on July 31, with estimated earnings of approximately $1.42 per share, reflecting a slight increase from the previous year, and revenues projected to rise by 3.3% year-over-year to $88.6 billion, primarily driven by the services sector [2] - Hardware sales, particularly iPhone sales, are anticipated to slow down ahead of the iPhone 17 launch in September, although new budget-friendly iPhone 16e and upgraded M4-powered MacBooks may provide some offsetting gains [2] - The company currently has a market capitalization of $3.1 trillion, with total revenue over the past twelve months reaching $400 billion, including $127 billion in operating profits and a net income of $97 billion [4] Group 2 - The impact of tariffs on Apple is being monitored, with CEO Tim Cook previously indicating potential additional expenses of up to $900 million due to tariffs during the June quarter [3] - Historical data shows that Apple has had 20 earnings data points over the past five years, with positive one-day post-earnings returns observed about 40% of the time, increasing to 50% over the last three years [6] - The median of the positive one-day returns is 5.3%, while the median of the negative returns is -1.6% [6]