How Will AbbVie's Neuroscience Franchise Perform in Q2 Earnings?

Core Insights - AbbVie holds a leadership position in the neuroscience space, with significant products including Botox Therapeutic and Vraylar, contributing to over 17% of the company's first-quarter revenues, which grew 16% year over year [1][10]. Neuroscience Franchise Performance - The neuroscience franchise is estimated to generate $2.5 billion in sales for Q2 2025, reflecting a 15% year-over-year growth, driven by higher sales of Botox Therapeutic and Vraylar, along with market share gains for Ubrelvy and Qulipta [2][10]. - Newly launched Vyalev is expected to contribute modest sales in the U.S., with the majority of its revenue coming from international markets [3][10]. Competitive Landscape - Major competitors in the neuroscience space include Biogen and Johnson & Johnson [5]. - Biogen generates over half of its revenue from neuroscience therapies and markets FDA-approved treatments for Alzheimer's disease and postpartum depression [6]. - Johnson & Johnson's neuroscience portfolio includes leading products like Spravato and Invega Sustenna, with recent acquisitions enhancing its offerings [8]. Valuation and Market Performance - AbbVie shares have outperformed the industry year to date, trading at a price/earnings (P/E) ratio of 14.06, slightly below the industry average of 14.60 [9][12]. - EPS estimates for 2025 have decreased from $12.32 to $11.98, while estimates for 2026 have increased from $14.06 to $14.08 over the past month [13].