黄金今日行情走势要点分析（2025.7.23）

Group 1: Market Overview - Gold prices experienced fluctuations, initially facing resistance around 3403, then stabilizing near 3383 before accelerating to a peak of 3433 during the night session, closing with a bullish candlestick [2] - Trade uncertainties are increasing, leading to heightened demand for safe-haven assets like gold, as market sentiment regarding U.S. trade negotiations with major partners becomes increasingly pessimistic [3] - The potential for a significant trade deal between the U.S. and Japan, where Japan would pay a 15% reciprocal tariff and invest $550 billion, could slightly dampen safe-haven demand [3] Group 2: Federal Reserve and Economic Factors - The market anticipates that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates in the upcoming FOMC meeting, but the likelihood of a rate cut in October is rising amid ongoing criticism from President Trump towards Fed Chair Powell [4] - Concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve could lead to a weaker dollar and higher long-term interest rates, which may further increase gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [4] - The outcome of trade negotiations and the Federal Reserve's decisions are critical variables that could influence gold prices significantly [4] Group 3: Technical Analysis - Gold has shown a strong upward trend, with three consecutive bullish days, indicating robust short-term momentum [5] - Key resistance levels for gold are identified at 3452/3453, while support levels are noted at 3390-3385 and 3360 [6] - On a four-hour chart, gold has shown a breakout after a period of consolidation, with immediate resistance at 3466 and support levels at 3405/3398 and 3385/3383 [8]