李斯裕：7.23黄金看回落修整，沪金沪白银走势分析操作策略

Market Overview - The current gold price has strongly broken through the $3,400 mark, reaching a high of $3,433.37 per ounce, the highest since June 16, with a closing increase of 1% to $3,431.59 per ounce [2] - The rise in gold prices is supported by global trade uncertainties, a decline in the US dollar, and falling US Treasury yields [2] Economic Indicators - There are indications of a significant likelihood of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, with suggestions from the US Treasury Secretary and Powell advocating for a reduction of rates by up to 3 percentage points [2] - The ongoing trade negotiations are at a stalemate, which is contributing to the weakening of the dollar and providing upward momentum for gold prices [2] Technical Analysis - The daily chart indicates an upward trend for gold, with technical indicators showing a bullish crossover and increasing momentum [4] - However, there are signs of potential short-term overbought conditions, suggesting a need for a pullback or consolidation [4] - The 4-hour chart indicates a possible peak, with support levels identified at $3,405-$3,400, and a break below $3,400 could lead to further adjustments [4] Trading Strategies - Suggested trading strategy includes shorting gold at $3,435 with a stop-loss at $3,442 and a target range of $3,420-$3,310 [5] - For silver, the upward trend continues with a temporary high around $39.3, and potential resistance at $39.5, while support is noted at $38.5-$37.5 [5] Domestic Futures - In the domestic futures market, Shanghai gold has reached 795, and accumulation gold has reached 790, with recommendations to exit long positions and wait for a pullback before re-entering [6] - Support levels for Shanghai gold are at 780, while accumulation gold support is at 772 [6] Shanghai Silver - Shanghai silver has reached a temporary high of 9,540, with no clear top formation yet; however, a failure to reach new highs could indicate a potential peak [7] - Support levels for Shanghai silver are identified at 9,350-9,250, with a break below these levels suggesting a shift from strong to weak momentum [7]