Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-07-23 05:46Core Viewpoint - The wind power industry is experiencing a significant rebound in the average monthly bidding price for land-based wind turbines starting from the end of 2024, continuing into mid-2025, indicating a potential industry-wide profitability reversal [1][2]. Group 1: Price Recovery Factors - Four main reasons support the current price recovery of wind turbines: 1) The industry market share has reached a relatively stable state, and continuous losses are unsustainable, with the signing of price discipline agreements promoting improved competition [2]. 2) The pace of turbine large-scale production has slowed, focusing on optimizing existing product lines [2]. 3) The previously relied-upon transfer of power station business may face downward risks, leading to more cautious acquisition of loss-making orders [2]. 4) Leading manufacturers are focusing on domestic offshore wind and exports, reducing competition in the domestic land-based wind sector [2]. Group 2: Profitability Outlook - The industry is expected to see a profitability reversal, with net profit margins projected to increase by 1-2 percentage points in the second half of 2025 due to a decrease in expense ratios, and a potential gross margin increase of 3-5 percentage points year-on-year starting in 2026, driven by rising delivery prices and cost improvements [3]. Group 3: Long-term Growth Drivers - The manufacturing segment is likely to benefit structurally from the increasing share of high-priced, high-margin products in domestic offshore wind and exports, with projections indicating that by 2025, these products will account for approximately 28% of total output value for turbine manufacturers, potentially rising to 46% by around 2028 [4].