业绩预喜频传，CXO板块已度过“最坏时刻”

Core Viewpoint - The recent performance of CRO companies, particularly Zhaoyan New Drug, indicates a potential recovery in the industry, with several firms reporting strong growth forecasts for the upcoming periods, suggesting that the worst times may be over for the sector [1][7][10]. Company Summary - Zhaoyan New Drug's stock opened at 25.99 CNY and reached a peak of 28.25 CNY, closing at 27.33 CNY, marking a 6.43% increase and a total market capitalization of 20.483 billion CNY [1]. - The company anticipates a revenue decline of approximately 17.3% to 25.2% for the first half of 2025, projecting revenues between 630 million to 702 million CNY, while expecting a net profit of 50.32 million to 75.49 million CNY, marking a turnaround from losses in previous periods [1][3]. - The net profit turnaround is attributed to the fair value changes of biological assets, which are expected to contribute approximately 70.32 million to 105.00 million CNY to net profit [3]. Industry Summary - The CRO sector is experiencing a positive trend, with the overall CRO concept in the A-share market rising by 0.43%, and several companies, including Meidi and Heyuan Biological, seeing stock price increases of over 7% [2]. - The CXO sector in the Hong Kong market also saw a rise of 4.91%, indicating a broader recovery in the industry [2]. - The industry is witnessing a shift from price competition to efficiency competition, as supply and demand dynamics improve, with a notable recovery in early-stage research demand and a reduction in excess capacity among smaller firms [7][9]. - The ADC (antibody-drug conjugate) market is projected to grow significantly, with estimates suggesting a market size of 64.7 billion USD by 2030, driven by increasing demand for innovative drug development [10][11]. Challenges - Despite positive signals, the industry faces challenges such as ongoing price wars, geopolitical risks, and the need for continuous technological advancements to maintain competitiveness [13][14]. - The pressure on profit margins remains a concern, as companies may resort to aggressive pricing strategies to secure orders, potentially impacting overall profitability [14][15].