Thalys(SH:603716) Hua Xia Shi Bao·2025-07-23 13:20Core Viewpoint - The company, Saily Medical, has experienced a significant stock price increase of over 250% this year, despite reporting a tenfold increase in losses for the first half of 2025, highlighting a stark contrast between stock performance and financial results [2][9]. Financial Performance - The company expects a net loss attributable to shareholders of between 55 million to 66 million yuan for the first half of 2025, which is an increase in losses of 50.23 million to 61.23 million yuan compared to the same period last year [3]. - The first quarter of 2025 showed a net loss of 14.32 million yuan, indicating a worsening trend in the second quarter [3][6]. - Revenue for the first half of 2025 is projected to decline by 40.75% compared to the previous year, with a significant drop in net profit of 553.66% [4][6]. Business Operations - The company has been trapped in a cycle of increasing revenue without corresponding profit since 2020, with a net profit loss that has expanded for four consecutive years [4][6]. - The main business areas, particularly the SPD business, are showing signs of fatigue, with revenue growth of only 10.23% in 2024, while costs have risen nearly in tandem, leading to minimal improvement in gross margins [6][10]. Market Position and Investor Sentiment - Despite the financial struggles, Saily Medical's stock price has surged, creating a disconnect between market valuation and financial fundamentals, raising concerns about sustainability [10][14]. - Analysts suggest that the current high valuation may not be supported by the company's fundamentals, and caution against blindly following market trends without a thorough analysis of the company's core business improvements [10][14]. Strategic Direction and Challenges - The company is focusing on a transformation towards medical intelligence, including areas like brain-computer interfaces and innovative drugs, but faces skepticism regarding the feasibility and timeline of these initiatives [10][12]. - R&D investment remains low, with only 2.58% of revenue allocated to R&D in 2024, which is insufficient to support the ambitious multi-line strategy [10][12]. Financial Health and Credit Rating - Saily Medical has faced liquidity pressures, with multiple instances of overdue repayment of raised funds, leading to criticism of management [12][13]. - The company's credit rating was downgraded from "BBB-" to "BB+" due to increasing losses, long customer payment cycles, and high financial leverage, indicating a deteriorating financial outlook [14].