The Bottom Is in for Kohl's, But Let the Share Price Come to You

Core Viewpoint - Kohl's stock appears to have reached a bottom after years of challenges, with a significant price surge indicating potential for growth and dividend resumption [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Market Sentiment - Kohl's stock price increased over 40% in a single day, confirming support at long-term lows [1]. - The stock is considered a candidate for speculative positions, but investors are advised against chasing the price due to expected volatility [2][3]. - Short interest remains high at nearly 50%, which poses risks for future price movements [3]. Group 2: Analyst and Institutional Activity - Analyst activity shows a mix of price target reductions and reaffirmations, indicating a market bottom but not robust bullish sentiment [5]. - Institutions own 98% of Kohl's stock and have been buying consistently, providing a supportive market environment [7]. Group 3: Dividend and Financial Outlook - Kohl's dividend yield is currently at 4.06%, with an annual payment of $0.50 and a payout ratio of 45.87%, suggesting the dividend is sustainable for the near term [8]. - The company expects a return to growth, with profits anticipated in the full-year guidance, although significant growth may not materialize until fiscal year 2026 [9]. - Despite a decline in cash and total assets, the company has reduced debt and liabilities, maintaining a healthy balance sheet [10]. Group 4: Market Trends and Risks - The market is experiencing resistance at critical levels, with potential for sideways price action or a dip to retest support [11][12]. - The long-term downtrend remains intact, and short-sellers may have begun to reposition at higher levels, limiting upside potential in the near term [11].