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If You'd Invested $5,000 in Kohl's Stock 3 Years Ago, Here's How Much You'd Have Today
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-17 18:45
Core Insights - Kohl's stock has experienced a significant decline, with a loss of 80% over the past three years, closing at $8.12 compared to $40.54 previously [3][5] - The S&P 500 index, in contrast, gained 60% during the same period, highlighting the underperformance of Kohl's [3] - An initial investment of $5,000 in Kohl's would now be worth approximately $1,000, while the same investment in the S&P 500 would have grown to nearly $8,400 [4] Financial Performance - Kohl's has paid dividends of $0.50 per share per quarter until recently, when it was reduced to $0.125 per share, resulting in total dividends of nearly $700 over three years [4] - The total return from the initial $5,000 investment in Kohl's, after accounting for dividends, is approximately $1,700 [4] - The company projects earnings of $0.10 to $0.60 per share in 2025, which may not be sufficient to cover the new annual dividend of $0.50 [6] Market Challenges - Kohl's is facing ongoing challenges in the competitive retail industry, with same-store sales declining by 3.9% in the first fiscal quarter [5] - Management anticipates a further decline in same-store sales of 4% to 6% for the year, indicating a challenging outlook [5] - The reduction in dividends is often a warning sign of underlying issues within the company, which is evident in Kohl's current situation [5][7]
Kohl’s(KSS) - 2026 Q1 - Quarterly Report
2025-06-06 20:10
Financial Performance - Net sales decreased by 4.1% to $3.0 billion, with comparable sales down 3.9% in the first quarter of 2025[55] - Gross margin increased by 37 basis points to 39.9% of net sales, driven by merchandise mix and inventory management[65] - SG&A expenses decreased by 5.2% to $1.2 billion, representing 36.0% of total revenue, a decrease of 32 basis points year-over-year[55] - Operating income was $60 million, an increase from $43 million in the prior year, with an operating margin of 1.9%[55] - The company expects net sales to decrease between 5% and 7% for the full year 2025[59] - Digital sales decreased by 7.7%, with digital penetration at 24% of net sales compared to 25% in the first quarter of 2024[61] Cash Flow and Capital Expenditures - Operating activities used $92 million of cash in Q1 2025, a decrease of $85 million compared to $7 million used in Q1 2024[80] - Investing activities used $108 million in Q1 2025, down from $126 million in Q1 2024, primarily due to fewer Sephora shop openings[82] - Anticipated capital expenditures for 2025 are approximately $400 to $425 million, including investments in Sephora shops and e-fulfillment center expansion[83] - Capital expenditures are projected to be between $400 million and $425 million in 2025, including investments in Sephora shops and e-fulfillment centers[75] - Financing activities generated $219 million of cash in Q1 2025, an increase of $41 million compared to $178 million in Q1 2024[86] - Cash dividend payments were $14 million ($0.125 per share) in Q1 2025, down from $55 million ($0.50 per share) in Q1 2024[87] Inventory and Working Capital - Inventory increased by 2% year-over-year to $3.1 billion[55] - Working capital decreased to $300 million as of May 3, 2025, compared to $643 million previously[89] - Current ratio declined to 1.09 from 1.21 year-over-year, driven by increased borrowings and decreased cash[90] Tax and Credit Ratings - The effective tax rate for the first quarter was 10.4%, down from 32.5% in the prior year[70] - As of May 3, 2025, corporate credit ratings were downgraded to Ba3 (Moody's), BB- (S&P), and BB (Fitch) with a negative outlook[85] - Net borrowings on the $1.5 billion credit facility were $255 million in Q1 2025, compared to $263 million in Q1 2024[87] - The company was in compliance with all covenants of its senior secured revolving credit facility as of May 3, 2025[92]
Kohl's Q1 '25: A Meltdown In Slow Motion
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-02 16:06
Group 1 - The retail sector is highlighted as an attractive investment option for long-term investors, particularly those that offer consistent dividends [1] - Many 'Bricks and Mortar' businesses are reportedly on the verge of significant changes, indicating potential investment opportunities [1] Group 2 - The author, Rick, has over 20 years of experience in trading stocks and options, contributing to the credibility of the insights provided [1] - Rick's work has been featured in various authoritative publications, enhancing the visibility and trustworthiness of his investment perspectives [1]
If You Like Short Squeeze Battles: Kohl's Could Be The Next Moonshot (Rating Upgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-02 12:13
Group 1 - The article highlights Paul Franke's extensive experience in stock picking and investment strategies, emphasizing his contrarian approach and algorithmic analysis for identifying stocks through a system called "Victory Formation" [1] - Franke's investment philosophy includes using stop-loss levels of 10% or 20% on individual stocks and maintaining a diversified portfolio of at least 50 well-positioned stocks to achieve consistent market outperformance [1] - The "Bottom Fishing Club" articles focus on identifying deep-value stocks or those showing significant positive technical momentum reversals, while the "Volume Breakout Report" discusses stocks with strong price and volume trends [1]
Kohl's Q1 Loss Narrower Than Estimates, Sales Decline 4% Y/Y
ZACKS· 2025-05-30 16:01
Core Insights - Kohl's Corporation reported a first-quarter fiscal 2025 loss per share of 13 cents, which was better than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of 22 cents and improved from a loss of 24 cents in the prior year [1] - Total revenues for the quarter were $3,233 million, down from $3,382 million in the same quarter last year, but exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3,176 million [1] - Comparable sales declined by 3.9% year over year, which was better than the expected decrease of 6% [1] Financial Performance - Gross margin increased by 37 basis points to 39.9%, surpassing the expected increase of 10 basis points [2] - SG&A expenses decreased by 5.2% to $1,164 million, and as a percentage of total revenues, they fell by 32 basis points to 36% [2] - Operating income rose to $60 million from $43 million in the previous year, with an operating income margin expansion of 58 basis points to 1.9% [2] Financial Health - At the end of the quarter, Kohl's had cash and cash equivalents of $153 million and shareholders' equity of $3,779 million [3] - The company reported net cash used in operating activities of $92 million for the three months ending May 3, 2025 [3] - Kohl's expects capital expenditures to be between $400 million and $425 million for fiscal 2025 [3] Future Outlook - For fiscal 2025, Kohl's anticipates a net sales decline of 5-7% and comparable sales to decrease by 4-6% [4] - The expected operating margin for the year is projected to range from 2.2% to 2.6% [4] - Full-year earnings per share are forecasted to be between 10 cents and 60 cents [4]
Kohl's Corporation (KSS) Q1 2025 Earnings Conference Call Transcript
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-29 16:58
Group 1 - The conference call is for Kohl's Corporation's First Quarter 2025 earnings, indicating a focus on financial performance and future initiatives [1] - Trevor Novotny, Senior Manager of Investor Relations, is leading the call, suggesting a structured approach to investor communication [1] - The call includes a question-and-answer session, highlighting engagement with analysts and investors [1] Group 2 - Forward-looking statements regarding projected financial results and future initiatives are made, which are subject to risks and uncertainties [2] - The company emphasizes that actual results may differ materially from projections due to various risks outlined in their annual report [2] - Non-GAAP financial measures may be referenced during the call, indicating a focus on alternative financial metrics for analysis [3]
Why Kohl's, Deckers, and Five Below Stocks All Popped This Morning
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-29 15:05
Core Viewpoint - The recent court ruling regarding tariffs has positively impacted consumer goods companies, particularly Kohl's, which reported better-than-expected Q1 earnings despite ongoing sales declines [1][6][10]. Group 1: Tariff Impact - A U.S. Court of International Trade ordered the lifting of certain tariffs imposed by President Trump, which has led to a positive reaction in the stock prices of consumer goods companies [1][2]. - Companies like Deckers Outdoor and Five Below saw stock increases of 1.9% and 2.6% respectively, while Kohl's stock rose by 4.3% [3][4]. Group 2: Kohl's Q1 Earnings - Kohl's reported a smaller-than-expected loss of $0.13 per share against an analyst forecast of a $0.22 loss, with sales reaching $3.1 billion [6][8]. - The company experienced a 4.1% decline in sales and a 3.9% decline in same-store sales, but managed to improve its gross margin by 37 basis points to 39.9% [7][8]. Group 3: Future Guidance - Kohl's forecasts a sales decline of 5% to 7% through the end of 2025, indicating worsening sales trends compared to the 4.1% decline reported in Q1 [9]. - The company expects to be profitable for the year, projecting earnings between $0.10 and $0.60 per share, which falls short of Wall Street's expectation of $0.67 [10]. Group 4: Stock Valuation - Kohl's stock is currently priced at approximately $8, translating to a valuation of 12.5 times analyst forecasts, which are likely to decrease in line with the new guidance [11]. - If Kohl's achieves the midpoint of its earnings guidance at $0.35 per share, the stock would be valued at around 24 times current-year earnings, which is considered too high given the declining sales and earnings [12].
Kohl's (KSS) Q1 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-05-29 14:36
Core Insights - Kohl's reported revenue of $3.23 billion for the quarter ended April 2025, a year-over-year decline of 4.4% [1] - The EPS for the same period was -$0.13, an improvement from -$0.24 a year ago, with a surprise of +40.91% compared to the consensus estimate of -$0.22 [1] Financial Performance - The reported revenue exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.2 billion, resulting in a surprise of +0.88% [1] - Comparable store sales showed a year-over-year decline of -3.9%, contrasting with the average estimate of 0% based on five analysts [4] - Net sales were reported at $3.05 billion, surpassing the average estimate of $2.99 billion, but still reflecting a year-over-year change of -4.1% [4] - Other revenue was reported at $184 million, slightly above the average estimate of $179.90 million, representing a year-over-year decline of -9.8% [4] Market Performance - Kohl's shares have returned +20.9% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +6.7% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]
Kohl’s(KSS) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-29 14:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net sales declined by 4.1% and comparable sales decreased by 3.9% in the quarter, attributed to the closure of 24 stores [26][27] - Gross margin increased to 39.9%, up 37 basis points year-over-year, driven by category mix benefits and inventory management [30] - SG&A expenses decreased by 5.2% to $1.2 billion, leveraging approximately 32 basis points compared to last year [30] - The company reported a net loss of $15 million, with earnings per diluted share of negative $0.13, a 46% improvement from the previous year [31] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Jewelry sales increased by 10% in Q1, primarily driven by Kohl's card customers, following the reintroduction of jewelry into stores [15][16] - Women's apparel is being rebalanced to improve performance, focusing on essentials and proprietary brands [17][19] - Sephora's net sales were up 6% and comparable sales increased by 1% in Q1, contributing to a nearly $2 billion beauty business [18] - The impulse queue line rollout is expected to enhance sales, with plans to expand to nearly all stores by Q3 [18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The digital business saw a sales decline of 7.7% in the quarter, underperforming compared to store sales, which declined by 2.6% [27][28] - The middle and low-income customers are under pressure, prioritizing value and trading down to lower-priced products [28] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on three key areas: offering a curated assortment, reestablishing value and quality, and enhancing the omnichannel shopping experience [12][19][23] - Plans for 2025 include improving product assortment clarity and investing in proprietary brands to better serve customer needs [13][19] - The company aims to enhance promotions by including more brands in coupon eligibility, responding positively to customer feedback [21][22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledges the ongoing transformation and the need to align the business with customer needs, particularly focusing on value [40][41] - The company is navigating a fluid environment with uncertainties, particularly affecting middle-income customers [43][44] - Despite challenges, management remains optimistic about achieving financial guidance for the year, with expectations of comparable sales down 4% to 6% [36] Other Important Information - The company completed a private offering of $360 million in senior secured notes, expected to close on May 30, to refinance upcoming debt maturities [34][35] - Inventory strategies are being implemented to manage tariff pressures, with expectations of inventory down high single digits by year-end [32][36] Q&A Session Summary Question: Any adjustments to strategic priorities and what will it take to return to comp growth? - Management does not foresee major changes to the strategy and emphasizes understanding customer needs to restore growth [39][40] Question: Insights on quarter-to-date trends and tariff impacts? - Management holds the full-year guidance due to uncertainties and notes consistent performance with some weather-related impacts [42][44][46] Question: Breakdown of gross margin increase and private label performance? - The increase in gross margin is attributed to a favorable category mix and improved inventory management, with proprietary brands expected to enhance margins [50][52] Question: Assessment of store footprint and potential closures? - The company has a healthy store base and will continue to evaluate store performance, with closures being part of regular hygiene [60][62] Question: Update on Sephora collaboration and operating environment? - Sephora is now present in all stores, and while comp growth has moderated, the company is pleased with market share gains in beauty [73][75] Question: E-commerce performance and profitability outlook? - Digital sales declined but are expected to improve as core customers return, with profitability being lower than stores due to shipping costs [80][84]
Kohl’s(KSS) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-29 14:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net sales declined by 4.1% and comparable sales decreased by 3.9% in Q1 2026, attributed to the closure of 24 stores [24][25] - Gross margin increased to 39.9%, up 37 basis points year-over-year, driven by category mix benefits and inventory management [27] - SG&A expenses decreased by 5.2% to $1.2 billion, leveraging approximately 32 basis points compared to last year [27] - The company reported a net loss of $15 million, with earnings per diluted share of negative $0.13, a 46% improvement from the previous year [27] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Jewelry sales increased by 10% in Q1, primarily driven by Kohl's card customers, following the reintroduction of jewelry and the rollout of 200 fine jewelry shops [14][15] - Women's apparel underperformed, prompting a focus on delivering more depth in essentials and improving assortment clarity [15] - The Sephora business saw net sales up 6% and comparable sales up 1% in Q1, contributing to a nearly $2 billion beauty business [16] - The petites business performed well, up in the high teens, driven by new brand introductions [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Digital sales declined by 7.7% in Q1, with the digital business over-penetrating in the home category, which underperformed [25][26] - The store channel outperformed with a comparable sales decline of 2.6% [25] - The company continues to see strong sales from new and non-Kohl's card customers, while Kohl's card customer performance lags [26] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on three key areas: offering a curated assortment, reestablishing itself as a leader in value and quality, and enhancing the omnichannel shopping experience [12][17][21] - Plans include the rollout of 105 Sephora small format shops and the expansion of impulse queue lines to nearly all stores by Q3 [16][21] - The company aims to improve proprietary brand penetration, which is currently at an all-time low of around 30% [50] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledges the challenges faced by middle-income customers and emphasizes the need to focus on value to restore customer confidence [36][61] - The company is navigating a fluid environment with uncertainties, particularly regarding tariffs, but remains committed to achieving its financial guidance for the year [40][32] - Management expressed optimism about the initial results from recent strategic changes and expects to continue momentum throughout the year [23] Other Important Information - The company ended the quarter with $153 million in cash and cash equivalents and expects inventory to be down by high single digits by year-end [28] - Capital expenditures for the quarter were $110 million, with expectations to spend $400 million to $425 million for the year [28] - The company completed a private offering of $360 million in senior secured notes to refinance upcoming debt maturities [29][30] Q&A Session Summary Question: Any adjustments to strategic priorities and what will it take to return to comp growth? - Management indicated no major changes to the strategy and emphasized the need to align the business with customer needs, particularly focusing on value [35][36] Question: Insights on quarter-to-date trends and tariff impacts? - Management noted consistent performance with improvements in regular price selling, while holding guidance due to uncertainties in the environment [38][40] Question: Breakdown of gross margin increase and private label performance? - The increase in gross margin was attributed to a mix benefit and improved inventory management, with proprietary brands expected to enhance margins [47][48] Question: Assessment of store footprint and potential closures? - Management stated that the store base is healthy, with ongoing evaluations for potential closures and relocations based on lease expirations [56][58] Question: Update on Sephora collaboration and operating environment? - The rollout of Sephora is complete in all stores, with positive performance noted in fragrance and hair care categories [68][70] Question: E-commerce performance and profitability outlook? - Digital sales are expected to improve progressively, with profitability impacted by shipping costs, but overall management is pleased with expense management [76][78] Question: Margin pressure from tariffs and guidance assumptions? - Management believes they can mitigate most tariff pressures and has factored this into their guidance for the year [80][82]