Core Viewpoint - The Hartford Insurance Group (HIG) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $2.77 per share, a 10.8% increase year-over-year, with revenues projected at $4.89 billion, reflecting a 9.6% increase compared to the same period last year [1]. Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.3% lower over the last 30 days, indicating a reevaluation by analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock performance [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts forecast 'Revenue- Net premiums earned' at $6.02 billion, a 7.9% increase from the prior-year quarter [5]. - The estimate for 'Revenue- Property and Casualty- Net investment income' is $519.16 million, indicating a 10.2% increase year-over-year [5]. - 'Revenue- Fee income- Personal Lines' is expected to reach $8.03 million, a 0.4% increase from the prior-year quarter [6]. - 'Revenue- Property & Casualty- Earned Premium' is projected at $4.38 billion, reflecting a 10.2% increase from the year-ago quarter [6]. - 'Revenue- Earned Premium- Personal Lines' is estimated at $928.03 million, suggesting a 9.3% year-over-year increase [7]. - 'Revenue- Property & Casualty Other Operations- Net investment income' is expected to be $19.38 million, indicating a 2% increase year-over-year [7]. - 'Revenue- Fee income- Corporate' is projected at $10.72 million, reflecting a 7.2% increase from the year-ago quarter [7]. - 'Revenue- Corporate - Total' is expected to reach $25.05 million, indicating a significant decrease of 24.1% from the prior-year quarter [8]. Key Ratios - The 'Personal line - Loss and loss adjustment expense ratio' is expected to be 72.7%, down from 81.0% a year ago [8]. - The 'Personal line - Expense ratio' is projected at 26.7%, slightly up from 26.4% reported in the same quarter last year [9]. - The 'Personal line - Combined ratio' is forecasted to be 99.4%, down from 107.4% in the same quarter of the previous year [9]. - The 'Personal line - Underlying combined ratio' is expected to be 90.5%, compared to 96.7% a year ago [10]. Market Performance - Shares of The Hartford Insurance Group have shown a return of -2.7% over the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +5.9% change [10].
What Analyst Projections for Key Metrics Reveal About The Hartford Insurance Group (HIG) Q2 Earnings