Etsy (ETSY) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?

Core Viewpoint - Etsy is anticipated to report a year-over-year increase in earnings despite lower revenues, which could significantly influence its stock price depending on the actual results compared to estimates [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to show quarterly earnings of $0.53 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +29.3%, while revenues are projected to be $647.76 million, unchanged from the previous year [3]. - The earnings report is scheduled for release on July 30, and better-than-expected results could lead to a stock price increase, whereas disappointing results may cause a decline [2]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.29% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a slight positive reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Etsy is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -10.86%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict the likelihood of actual earnings deviating from consensus estimates, with a strong predictor being a positive Earnings ESP combined with a favorable Zacks Rank [10][11]. - Despite a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), the negative Earnings ESP reading complicates the prediction of an earnings beat for Etsy [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Etsy was expected to post earnings of $0.50 per share but only achieved $0.46, resulting in a surprise of -8.00% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, Etsy has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once [14]. Conclusion - While Etsy does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other factors influencing stock performance ahead of the earnings release [17].