BROOKLYN, N.Y., Feb. 5, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Etsy, Inc. (NYSE: ETSY), which operates two-sided online marketplaces that connect millions of passionate and creative buyers and sellers around the world, plans to release its fourth quarter and full year 2025 financial results before the opening of the market on Thursday, February 19, 2026. The press release can be accessed on the Etsy Investor Relations website (investors.etsy.com). Etsy will also host a video webcast conference call to discuss those results ...

We recently published an article titled 12 High Growth E-commerce Stocks To Buy.  Stifel analyst Mark Kelley lowered the firm’s price target on Etsy, Inc. (NYSE:ETSY) to $62 from $65 while maintaining a Hold rating on the shares on January 27. The update followed a review of third-party data suggesting the broader e-commerce group delivered a healthy fourth quarter overall, though the analyst flagged the potential for incremental consumer pricing pressure in 2026 based on recent commentary from Amazon. Th ...

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What happened According to a recent SEC filing dated Feb. 2, 2026, Hussman Strategic Advisors, Inc. increased its position in Etsy (NYSE:ETSY) by 42,000 shares during the fourth quarter of 2025. The estimated value of the trade was $2.56 million based on the quarterly average share price. At quarter’s end, the fund’s Etsy holdings were valued at $4.66 million, up $1.87 million from the prior period. What else to know The fund’s purchase brought its Etsy stake to 1.13% of reportable AUM, making it Hussma ...

Core Viewpoint - The rise of online shopping is a significant secular trend, prompting investor interest in the e-commerce sector, particularly in companies like Etsy, which is currently undervalued compared to its historical performance [1][2]. Industry Overview - Advancements in internet speeds and smartphone adoption have facilitated the growth of e-commerce, which is expected to continue as physical retail still dominates consumer spending in the U.S. [2]. - The e-commerce sector is characterized by a durable trend, making it an attractive area for investment [1]. Company Analysis: Etsy - Etsy is currently trading at a price-to-sales ratio of 2.3, marking a historically attractive valuation point for the company [3]. - The company has carved out a niche in the market for unique, handcrafted, and vintage goods, differentiating itself from larger competitors like Amazon [4]. - A 2023 survey indicated that 83% of Etsy buyers believe the marketplace offers items that cannot be found elsewhere, highlighting its unique value proposition [4]. Business Model - Etsy operates an asset-light business model, connecting 86.6 million active buyers with 5.5 million active sellers without holding inventory or managing logistics [5]. - This model creates a network effect, enhancing the platform's value as more users join, benefiting both buyers and sellers [5]. Financial Performance - Etsy's marketplace processed $2.4 billion in gross merchandise sales in Q3 2025, reflecting an 11% decline compared to the same period in 2021, attributed to reduced consumer spending on discretionary items [7]. - The company has faced increased expenses in product development and marketing, which may pose challenges for future growth [7]. - Despite its low stock price, there is a recommendation for investors to wait for clear signs of fundamental improvements before making purchases [7].

David Gardner: Risk. A lot of people talk about it, but especially in the investment world, I've never found that talk very satisfying. First of all, how do you, how do I, how do they, define risk? What does it mean, even to say that's a risky stock? The definitions are often unclear. Then some professional analysts in the risk section of their stock research will say stuff like medium. As in, this is a medium risk stock. What does that mean? Well, more than a decade ago, I developed a 25 point risk rating ...

Core Insights - The podcast discusses a 25-point risk rating system developed by David Gardner to provide a more concrete and measurable understanding of investment risk, moving away from vague terms like "medium risk" [4][5]. Group 1: Risk Assessment Framework - The risk rating system consists of 25 yes or no questions, where each "no" adds a point, indicating higher risk with a higher score [5]. - The framework can be applied not only to individual stocks but also to entire portfolios by calculating a weighted average risk score [5]. - The discussion emphasizes that understanding risk is about studying quality and that lower-risk stocks can sometimes yield greater returns [5]. Group 2: Company Analysis - Etsy - Etsy reported a net income of $182 million over the past 12 months and $75 million in the last quarter, indicating profitability [12]. - The company had a free cash flow of approximately $205 million in the last quarter and $635 million over the past year [16]. - Etsy has over 93 million buyers and 8.5 million sellers, ensuring no single customer accounts for more than 20% of its revenue [22]. - However, Etsy's net promoter score is -7, indicating questionable customer sentiment, and it has seen a decline in active buyers and gross merchandise sales [26]. Group 3: Company Analysis - Duolingo - Duolingo achieved a net income of approximately $386 million over the past 12 months and was profitable in the last quarter, aided by a one-time tax benefit [13]. - The company reported a free cash flow of about $350 million, growing by 20% year over year [17]. - Duolingo has over 50 million daily active users, with 9.5 million being paid subscribers, indicating a diversified revenue base [25]. - The brand enjoys over 50% awareness in the U.S. language learning market, supported by strong word-of-mouth marketing [21]. Group 4: Financial Performance - Etsy did not increase its sales by 10%-40% annually in the previous three years, with only single-digit growth in 2023 and 2024 [30]. - Duolingo, on the other hand, has seen annual revenue growth of at least 40% over the past three years, with a compound annual growth rate of 42% [32]. - Etsy has more debt than cash and has issued convertible debt, raising concerns about its ability to operate independently without external funding [35]. - Duolingo has a strong balance sheet with over $1.1 billion in cash and short-term investments, indicating it can operate independently [36]. Group 5: Competitive Landscape - Etsy faces significant competition from larger companies like Amazon and Shopify, which have greater financial resources [45]. - Duolingo is considered a market leader with strong brand recognition, surpassing competitors like Babel and Rosetta Stone in user-based revenue share [46]. - While there are no true disruptors in Etsy's space, smaller alternatives exist, indicating a competitive environment [48]. - Duolingo faces potential disruption from AI technologies, although no direct competition currently exists [49]. Group 6: Stock Metrics - Etsy has a market cap of approximately $6 billion, which is below the $10 billion threshold [57]. - Duolingo's market cap is around $7 billion, also below the $10 billion mark [59]. - Etsy's beta is 0.85, indicating lower volatility compared to the market, while Duolingo's beta has fluctuated significantly, indicating higher volatility [61][62].

Core Insights - Fiverr International (FVRR) and Etsy (ETSY) are both creator-led digital marketplaces that connect independent entrepreneurs with global demand, focusing on digital services and handmade goods respectively [1][8] - The global AI platform market is projected to grow at a CAGR of over 39%, reaching approximately $94.3 billion by 2030, prompting both companies to integrate AI into their operations to enhance engagement and monetization [2] Fiverr (FVRR) Analysis - Fiverr operates a global freelance services marketplace, connecting businesses with independent professionals across various categories, including programming and digital marketing [3] - The demand for AI specialists is concentrated in Fiverr's Programming and Tech vertical, which accounts for about 20% of its business, driven by Dynamic Matching and Managed Services [4] - Dynamic Matching generates average order values of $2,200, with 15% of briefs exceeding $1,000, while Managed Services captures projects averaging $17,000 [5] - Despite ongoing restructuring efforts to build an AI-native organization, near-term momentum is constrained due to weak spending from small and medium-sized businesses, with expectations of flat or low single-digit revenue declines in Q4 [6] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Fiverr's 2025 EPS is $2.9, indicating a 21.85% year-over-year improvement [7] Etsy (ETSY) Analysis - Etsy connects buyers with independent sellers of handmade goods and vintage items, with activity concentrated in home décor and personalized gifts [8] - Etsy has implemented AI-powered personalization tools to enhance engagement, with mobile applications accounting for 46% of total gross merchandise sales [9] - However, Etsy's active buyer count declined by 5% year-over-year, and gross merchandise sales fell by 2.4%, indicating ongoing structural challenges [11][12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Etsy's 2025 EPS is $1.31, reflecting a 44.26% year-over-year decline [12] Price Performance and Valuation - Over the past six months, Fiverr's shares have declined by 32%, while Etsy's shares have decreased by 5.2%, reflecting Fiverr's transition towards higher-value, AI-driven services [13] - Fiverr trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 9.2x compared to Etsy's 21.8x, suggesting a valuation gap that may not be justified given Fiverr's growth in AI services [16] - Fiverr's structural exposure to high-growth AI services and upmarket momentum positions it favorably against Etsy, which faces buyer contraction and limited growth from AI initiatives [19]

Group 1 - Etsy, Inc. is recognized as one of the 7 best jewellery stocks to buy currently [1] - Cantor Fitzgerald has reduced its price objective for Etsy from $64 to $55 while maintaining a Neutral rating, citing persistent macro issues but a more optimistic outlook for global internet equities into 2026 [2] - BTIG has maintained a Buy rating on Etsy but lowered its price target from $81 to $74, indicating a cautious assessment of valuation while still viewing the shares as inexpensive [3] Group 2 - Etsy is a top-10 e-commerce marketplace in the United States and the United Kingdom, with a significant presence in Germany, France, Australia, and Canada [4]

Core Insights - The global e-commerce landscape is rapidly evolving, with cross-border e-commerce significantly altering international trade dynamics, presenting both challenges and opportunities for businesses and consumers [1] Group 1: Policy Environment - The policy environment is a crucial external factor affecting cross-border e-commerce, with varying regulations across countries creating both challenges and opportunities for enterprises [3] - In Southeast Asia, particularly Vietnam, 63% of consumers prefer purchasing New Year goods through e-commerce platforms, highlighting the market's growth potential [4] - Amazon has upgraded compliance requirements, increasing the on-time delivery compliance rate to 95%, which raises expectations for supplier efficiency [5][6] Group 2: Market Trends - The U.S. has become the largest online market for Korean cosmetics, holding a 51% global share, indicating a significant opportunity for cross-border e-commerce businesses to enhance procurement and marketing strategies [7] - eBay UK has adjusted customer service channels, which may impact consumer communication with the platform, while also launching a climate transition plan aiming for net-zero emissions by 2045 [7] Group 3: Logistics Challenges - Logistics remains a critical aspect of cross-border e-commerce, with long distances and multiple stages leading to high costs and delays, particularly during special circumstances like the pandemic [15] - Companies are exploring new logistics models, such as overseas warehouses, to improve delivery times and customer satisfaction [15] Group 4: Technological Innovation - Technological advancements, including AI, big data, and blockchain, are transforming cross-border e-commerce operations, enhancing customer service and operational efficiency [17][19] - AI technologies are increasingly used for smart customer service and personalized shopping experiences, while big data helps businesses understand consumer needs and market trends [17][19]