Group 1: Market Overview - The consumer goods market in urban China is expected to grow by 2.5% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, indicating a stable upward trend [1] - Beverage sales remain the main driver of the fast-moving consumer goods market, with a year-on-year growth of 5.6%, particularly in juice and functional drinks [1] - The retail sales of consumer goods increased by 5.0% year-on-year in the first half of this year, with final consumption expenditure contributing over 50% [1] Group 2: Out-of-Home Consumption - The out-of-home consumption market saw a year-on-year increase of 8.7% in customer traffic across cities [2] - The demand for emotional value, social needs, and entertainment experiences is driving the rapid adoption of new scenarios and technologies [2] Group 3: Offline Channels - Convenience store sales decreased by 3.6% year-on-year, while small supermarkets grew by 7.3%, indicating a stable performance in modern channels [3] - Major retailers showed a mixed performance, with Walmart leading in the second quarter, while the top ten retailers' market share declined by 1.1 percentage points [4][7] Group 4: Membership Stores - Membership stores have seen a year-on-year penetration rate increase of 3.6%, with Sam's Club showing significant growth in the East and South regions [8] - Sam's Club plans to open its largest store in Beijing by the end of 2025, aiming to attract customers with a "shopping + micro-vacation" model [8] Group 5: Discount Retail - Discount retailers are exploring new formats, with a focus on leisure food stores achieving a penetration rate exceeding 25% [10] - Traditional supermarkets are accelerating their transformation into hard discount formats, with regional players like "小百惠" and "家家悦" showing rapid growth [11] Group 6: Online Channels - E-commerce sales grew by 6.9% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, with Douyin's penetration rate increasing by 5.6 percentage points [12] - The 618 shopping festival saw a 2.9 percentage point increase in online channel penetration, with Douyin performing particularly well [14] Group 7: Conclusion - The fast-moving consumer goods market is experiencing a mild recovery, with consumers being price-sensitive while also valuing experiential and quality aspects [15] - The integration of online and offline channels is reshaping the consumer landscape, with a focus on product value, experiential value, and brand differentiation [16]
全渠道数据复盘:2025上半年消费市场底层变化与增长变量