高盛：关于香港IPO回暖的八大核心问题

Group 1 - The Hong Kong IPO market has seen a resurgence in 2025, with 51 companies listed and a total financing amount of 124 billion HKD, compared to 77 companies and 88 billion HKD in 2024 [2][5] - Over 200 companies are currently preparing for IPOs in Hong Kong, indicating strong market interest and potential growth [2][5] - The recovery is attributed to multiple factors, including improved market conditions, regulatory support, and increased demand for dual listings from A-share and ADR companies [5][14] Group 2 - The trend of dual listings in Hong Kong is driven by regulatory support and market demand, with A-share IPOs slowing down due to stricter regulations from the China Securities Regulatory Commission [5][14] - The Hong Kong stock market has performed well, with the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index rising 20% and 17% respectively in the first half of the year, boosting companies' willingness to raise funds [5][14] - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange has optimized its policies, including shortening IPO review times and introducing a "technology company channel" to facilitate listings [5][14] Group 3 - The current IPO activity is more about boosting market sentiment rather than consuming liquidity, with IPO financing accounting for less than 1% of the total market capitalization and trading volume [10][15] - The low interbank rates in Hong Kong and the outflow of global funds from the US have made Hong Kong stocks more attractive to international investors [21][15] - Historical data shows that large IPOs tend to have a short-term negative impact on the market, but the market rebounds quickly post-listing [23][15] Group 4 - The investor structure in the Hong Kong IPO market is characterized by a dominance of foreign cornerstone investors and a resurgence of retail investor enthusiasm, with an average subscription multiple of 9 for IPOs this year [26][32] - Companies with cornerstone investor ownership between 30% and 50% tend to perform better post-IPO, and high-growth companies can achieve excess returns even at higher valuations [32][38] Group 5 - The active IPO market in Hong Kong positively influences the A-share market, with increased southbound capital flows during periods of high IPO activity [39][44] - New IPOs are quickly included in major indices, attracting passive funds and enhancing liquidity, with an estimated 134 billion USD in passive funds expected to flow into the market [54][55] Group 6 - The sectors showing the highest demand for new IPOs include healthcare, technology, and materials, with consumer sectors also performing well post-IPO [60][55] - A list of high-quality A-share companies planning to list in Hong Kong has been identified, focusing on those with strong growth potential and favorable foreign ownership [60][61]