2025中国水力发电行业现状报告-嘉世咨询

Core Insights - The hydropower industry in China plays a crucial role in energy security, achieving "dual carbon" goals, and watershed management. By early 2025, the total installed capacity of hydropower is expected to exceed 420 million kilowatts, with pumped storage capacity surpassing 55 million kilowatts, marking a shift from scale expansion to stock optimization and high-quality development [1][13][19]. Industry Overview - Hydropower is a strategic cornerstone of China's energy security, providing a stable and reliable energy source that is less susceptible to geopolitical risks compared to fossil fuels [18]. - The industry has transitioned through various development stages, from initial exploration to large-scale construction and now to stock optimization and high-quality development [23][24][27]. - The macro environment for hydropower development is shaped by political, economic, social, and technological factors, with strong government support and policy direction [29][30][35]. Industry Chain Analysis - The hydropower industry chain includes upstream planning and design, midstream equipment manufacturing, and downstream power station operation, with major players like China Power Construction and China Energy Engineering leading the market [2][45][47]. - The "West-East Power Transmission" project addresses the imbalance of resource distribution and load, although it faces challenges such as transmission costs and market reforms affecting hydropower pricing [1][3]. Market Dynamics - The market is dominated by state-owned enterprises, with local energy platforms also participating. The regional layout is concentrated in the southwest, with significant developments in the Jinsha River and Yarlung Tsangpo River basins [1][3][29]. - The installed capacity of hydropower is highly concentrated in western provinces, with Sichuan leading the nation [42][43]. Technological Advancements - China has become a global leader in high dam construction and large-scale turbine manufacturing, with widespread application of smart hydropower station technologies and cascade reservoir scheduling [1][13][35]. - The industry is increasingly focusing on digital transformation and innovative technologies to enhance operational efficiency and economic benefits [27][35]. Challenges and Opportunities - The hydropower industry faces challenges related to ecological protection and social impacts, particularly concerning environmental sustainability and the resettlement of affected populations [14][32]. - Opportunities include the integration of hydropower with wind and solar energy, accelerated development of pumped storage, and the revaluation of existing hydropower assets [16][27][28].