Ge Long Hui·2025-07-24 11:28Core Viewpoint - The company is expected to achieve a significant net profit growth of 870% year-on-year in 1H25, reaching 540 million RMB, driven by improvements in underwriting profitability and strong growth in health and auto insurance premiums [1][2]. Group 1: Insurance Business Performance - Total premium income for the company in 1H25 is projected to increase by 9% year-on-year, with health insurance expected to grow by over 40%, primarily due to the popularity of the Zhongminbao series products [1]. - The auto insurance segment is anticipated to see a growth of over 30% year-on-year, supported by the introduction of new compulsory insurance products and proactive development efforts by the company [1]. - The consumer finance segment is expected to grow by 17% year-on-year, aligning with industry recovery trends, while the digital life segment may decline by 16% due to adjustments in certain products [1]. Group 2: Profitability and Investment Outlook - The company’s combined cost ratio (CoR) is expected to improve by 1.0 percentage point to 96.9% in 1H25, leading to an estimated underwriting profit exceeding 500 million RMB [1]. - The technology and virtual banking sectors are projected to continue reducing losses in 1H25, with an overall profitability expected for the year [2]. - The company has received permission to provide reserve banking services for stablecoin issuers, which may lead to various revenue opportunities through partnerships with digital asset exchanges [2]. Group 3: Valuation and Market Sentiment - The company is currently trading at a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.3x, with a target price increase of 31% to 21 HKD, reflecting a potential upside of 14.13% based on a revised P/B of 1.5x for 2025 [2]. - The overall sentiment in the Hong Kong stock market is expected to improve, which may support the company's valuation recovery [2].