欧洲央行如期维持利率不变 等待美国关税政策明朗化

Group 1 - The European Central Bank (ECB) has decided to maintain the deposit rate at 2%, marking the first time in over a year that rates have not been changed, aligning with market expectations [1] - The ECB's statement highlights that inflation is currently at the mid-term target level of 2%, but the economic outlook remains highly uncertain due to factors such as trade disputes [1] - There is speculation among investors that the ECB may lower rates by 22 basis points by the end of the year, with a final 25 basis point cut anticipated in September [1] Group 2 - The ECB's meeting coincides with a critical deadline for U.S. tariffs, with reports suggesting optimism about reaching a 15% tariff agreement [2] - ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos has warned of stagnation in economic growth for the second and third quarters due to businesses preparing for potential higher tariffs [2] - The euro has appreciated over 13% against the dollar this year, which could exert upward pressure on consumer prices, prompting concerns from various ECB officials about inflation potentially remaining below target levels [2]