Group 1 - Financial institutions, including Goldman Sachs and Castle Securities, are advising clients to purchase inexpensive hedging tools to protect against potential losses in the U.S. stock market [1][3] - The S&P 500 index has surged 28% since its low on April 8, and the "fear index" has reached its lowest level since February, making the cost of hedging against market declines very low [1][3] - Goldman Sachs noted that if clients feel anxious, the market is making hedging operations very easy to execute [1] Group 2 - The market faces several potential adverse events, including the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision and unresolved trade agreements with major partners like Mexico and Canada [3] - The non-farm payroll report for July is expected to significantly impact the Federal Reserve's policy in the coming months, alongside important earnings reports from major tech companies [3] - Bank of America suggested that it is time to buy volatility, as the VIX index typically reaches its lowest point in July [3] Group 3 - There is a belief that the current upward trend in the market will continue, supported by retail investors [5] - If the Federal Reserve finds that tariffs do not drive inflation or hinder economic growth, a rate cut in September could further boost the stock market [5] - Institutional investors' long positions are nearing highs, and they may soon slow down their buying pace [5] Group 4 - Investors are encouraged to engage in hedging operations set to expire in September to mitigate risks from significant events [5] - Historical data indicates that September is typically the worst-performing month for the U.S. stock market [5]
高盛预警:美股牛市前景暗藏风险 当前布局对冲最划算