Earnings Preview: XPO (XPO) Q2 Earnings Expected to Decline

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in XPO's earnings and revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - XPO is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.99 per share, reflecting an 11.6% decrease year-over-year, and revenues are projected at $2.04 billion, down 1.8% from the previous year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 4.22% over the last 30 days, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model shows that XPO has a negative Earnings ESP of -0.40%, suggesting analysts have become more pessimistic about the company's earnings prospects [12]. - XPO currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, XPO exceeded earnings expectations by delivering $0.73 per share against an expected $0.65, resulting in a surprise of +12.31% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, XPO has beaten consensus EPS estimates each time [14]. Industry Comparison - Another player in the transportation industry, ArcBest, is expected to report earnings of $1.46 per share for the same quarter, indicating a year-over-year decline of 26.3%, with revenues projected at $1.04 billion, down 3.7% [18]. - ArcBest's consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 5.7% in the last 30 days, but it has a positive Earnings ESP of +2.23%, suggesting a higher likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [19].