Goldman Sachs reaffirms its "Buy" rating for NYSE:XPO, raising the price target from $157 to $180.XPO Inc. reports a 4.7% increase in Q4 2025 revenue, surpassing Zacks Consensus Estimate with a positive surprise of 3.47%.The company's EPS for Q4 2025 was $0.88, exceeding the consensus estimate by 16.25%, showcasing consistent financial performance.On February 5, 2026, Goldman Sachs maintained its "Buy" rating for XPO, Inc. (NYSE:XPO), with a "hold" action. At this time, XPO's stock price was $185.62. Goldma ...

Core Viewpoint - XPO is experiencing significant growth, with a 39% increase in stock price year-to-date, driven by strong manufacturing reports and positive industry sentiment [2][7]. Financial Performance - XPO reported a 5% increase in revenue to $2.01 billion, surpassing estimates of $1.95 billion, supported by a 5.2% rise in yield despite a 4.5% decline in tonnage per day [3]. - Adjusted earnings per share rose from $0.68 to $0.80, exceeding the consensus estimate of $0.76 [5]. Operational Metrics - The company achieved its best results in key service metrics, including damage ratio and on-time delivery rate, which allowed for price increases [4]. - The adjusted operating ratio in North America improved by 180 basis points to 84.4%, reflecting an operating margin of 15.6% [4]. Market Dynamics - XPO's business is closely linked to manufacturing activity, with approximately two-thirds of shipments related to industrial goods [8]. - The company estimates that volumes are currently down 15%-17% from healthy industrial levels, indicating potential for significant growth if demand normalizes [9]. Future Outlook - There are signs of demand improvement, with volume remaining flat in January despite adverse weather conditions [10]. - XPO has invested heavily in infrastructure, adding 25 service centers, 19,000 trailers, and 6,000 tractors since 2022, positioning the company for future growth [10]. - The company anticipates improved free cash flow as it moves past an earlier investment cycle, allowing for increased shareholder returns [12]. Valuation Considerations - XPO's stock is currently trading at a high price-to-earnings ratio of around 50, suggesting that some recovery expectations are already reflected in the stock price [11].

Core Insights - BMO Capital has set a new price target for XPO, Inc. at $205, representing a 10.44% increase from the current stock price of $185.62 [1][6] - XPO's Q4 2025 earnings call revealed a quarterly earnings of $0.88 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.76 per share, resulting in a 16.25% earnings surprise [2][6] - The company reported Q4 2025 revenue of $2.01 billion, which is a 3.47% increase from expectations and up from $1.92 billion the previous year [3][6] Financial Performance - Despite a decrease in diluted earnings per share from $0.63 in 2024 to $0.50 in 2025, XPO's adjusted diluted EPS increased by 18% year-over-year [3] - The North American LTL segment experienced a 14% increase in adjusted operating income, with an improvement in the adjusted operating ratio by 180 basis points to 84.4% [4] Market Position - The stock's current price of $185.62 reflects a 3.39% rise, with a trading range between $184.48 and $200.13, indicating strong investor interest [5] - XPO's market capitalization is approximately $21.79 billion, with a trading volume of 7,490,078 shares, showcasing confidence in the company's future prospects [5]

Mario Harik, Chairman and CEO of XPO, says he's confident in the company's outlook after a strong earnings beat and record-high share price. He speaks with Romaine Bostick and Katie Greifeld on "The Close." ...

Market Position and Performance - XPO has approximately 9% market share in the North American LTL market, which is estimated to be $53 billion in 2024[17]. - In 2025, XPO moved approximately 16 billion pounds of freight through its network, covering 772 million miles, averaging 2.5 million miles per day[29]. - The company improved its on-time performance in every quarter of 2025 compared to 2024, achieving a damage claims ratio of 0.3%, down from 1.2% in Q4 2021[42]. - XPO's capital expenditures in 2025 included acquiring over 3,600 trailers and 1,200 tractors, with 60% of the expenditures focused on network capacity[42]. - The company achieved a full-year yield growth of 6.0% in 2025, driven by service improvements and expansion of accessorial services[42]. - XPO reduced its cost of third-party purchased transportation by over 50% in 2025 compared to 2024, with outsourced linehaul miles dropping to 5.1% of total linehaul miles in Q4[43]. - In 2025, XPO generated approximately 59% of its revenue in North America, with 16% from France, 14% from the U.K., and 11% from the rest of Europe[45]. - The top five customers of XPO accounted for approximately 8% of total revenue in 2025, with the largest customer contributing less than 3%[46]. Fleet and Infrastructure - XPO's fleet initiatives in 2025 included purchasing over 1,200 tractors, reducing the average tractor age to approximately 3.7 years[37]. - The company has over 150 all-electric trucks deployed in Europe, supported by more than 350 electric charging stations at its facilities[39]. - The company operates 592 locations globally, with 424 leased facilities and 164 owned facilities as of December 31, 2025[159][160]. Employee and Training Initiatives - The company has approximately 22,500 employees in North America, 14,400 in Europe, and 400 in Asia, with a total of about 60% of global employees based in North America[61]. - In 2025, the company graduated over 400 students from its LTL driver training locations, providing tuition-free training and pay during the program[79]. - The company completed over 380,000 training hours worldwide in 2025 through its learning and development platform, XPO University[80]. - Approximately 60% of newly hired U.S. employees in 2025 self-identified as ethnically or racially diverse, with 20% identifying as Black or African American, exceeding the U.S. population percentage[64]. - The company provided additional wage increases to over 1,000 eligible LTL employees at more than 225 locations throughout 2025[81]. - The company has maintained a safety program, "Road to Zero," resulting in approximately 2,550 LTL drivers achieving a safety designation of at least one million accident-free miles as of December 31, 2025[70]. - The company has a commitment to employee well-being, introducing new options for virtual physical therapy and enhanced mental health support programs[72]. - The company has been recognized as a 2025 "Top Company for Women to Work for in Transportation – Elite 30" by the Women in Trucking Association[74]. - The company has invested in direct employee communications, conducting over 9,000 roundtable discussions and safety and engagement committee meetings across its North American LTL network in 2025[67]. Financial Performance - Consolidated revenue for 2025 increased by 1.1% to $8.157 billion compared to 2024, with foreign currency movement contributing approximately 1.4 percentage points to revenue growth[178]. - Salaries, wages, and employee benefits in 2025 amounted to $3.424 billion, representing 42.0% of revenue, up from $3.377 billion or 41.8% in 2024[179]. - Operating income for 2025 was $656 million, accounting for 8.0% of revenue, slightly down from 8.2% in 2024[177]. - Net income for 2025 was $316 million, or 3.9% of revenue, compared to $387 million or 4.8% in 2024[177]. - Revenue in the North American LTL segment decreased 1.4% to $4.8 billion in 2025, with fuel surcharge revenue of $731 million compared to $785 million in 2024[198]. - Adjusted EBITDA for the North American LTL segment was $1.14 billion in 2025, up from $1.12 billion in 2024, driven by higher yield and lower purchased transportation[202]. - Revenue in the European Transportation segment increased 4.8% to $3.3 billion in 2025, with foreign currency movements contributing approximately 3.6 percentage points[205]. - Adjusted EBITDA for the European Transportation segment decreased to $147 million in 2025 from $158 million in 2024, primarily due to higher purchased transportation costs[206]. Risks and Challenges - Economic recessions and fluctuations in freight volumes in North America and Europe could materially affect the company's business and financial performance[91]. - The company may divest its European business, which could lead to a less diversified company and increased vulnerability to U.S. market conditions[100]. - The company faces risks related to currency exchange rate fluctuations, particularly with significant assets and earnings in euros and British pounds[106]. - Volatility in fuel prices can impact the company's fuel surcharge revenue and overall profitability[107]. - The company is exposed to risks from potential customer bankruptcies and financial distress, which could affect working capital needs and revenue[91]. - The effectiveness of the company's growth strategy, including acquisitions and market expansions, may be challenged by unfamiliarity with new markets and operational pressures[97]. - The company may incur ongoing costs and liabilities related to the divestiture of its European business, which could adversely affect its financial condition and results of operations[99]. - Fuel expenses are a significant cost for the company, impacting LTL carrier operations and third-party providers, with contracts including fuel surcharge programs to mitigate price increases[108]. - Decreases in fuel prices can reduce transportation service costs, potentially lowering revenues and margins for certain business lines[109]. - The company's fleet productivity historically decreases during winter, with extreme weather conditions disrupting operations and increasing costs[110]. - Climate change concerns have led to regulatory efforts that may increase compliance costs and operational disruptions, affecting the company's financial condition[111]. - The company relies heavily on information technology systems for operations, and failures in these systems could lead to significant operational difficulties and loss of revenues[120]. - The company faces risks related to cybersecurity, with potential breaches impacting business operations and reputation[117]. - The company has outstanding indebtedness, which could limit its ability to fund future capital expenditures and increase vulnerability to economic conditions[122]. - A shortage of qualified drivers in the transportation industry could adversely affect the company's ability to meet customer demand and profitability[129]. - The company may need to raise capital in the future to pursue growth strategies, and failure to do so could hinder its operational capabilities[125]. - Fluctuations in interest rates could adversely affect the company's financial position due to its floating rate credit facilities[127]. - The company faces challenges in attracting and retaining management talent, which could adversely affect its business and financial position[131]. - Labor disputes, including strikes and negotiations, could disrupt operations and negatively impact revenues and costs[132]. - The company has successfully avoided union representation in North America, with 19 out of 28 union elections resulting in a rejection of unionization as of December 31, 2025[135]. - The company is exposed to various types of litigation and claims that could result in significant expenditures and impact operations[136]. - Changes in income tax regulations, including the OECD's Pillar Two Global Anti-Base Erosion rules, may increase the company's effective tax rate and reduce cash flows starting in 2024[141]. - The company is subject to stringent governmental regulations, including emissions-control regulations, which could increase operating expenses[142]. - Future laws and regulations may require changes to operating practices, potentially increasing costs and impacting demand for services[145]. - The company is at risk of non-compliance with trade compliance and anti-corruption laws, which could lead to fines and reputational harm[148]. - The spin-offs of GXO and RXO may not qualify for tax-free treatment, potentially resulting in significant tax liabilities for the company and its stockholders[150]. - The company has received legal opinions regarding the tax-free qualification of its spin-offs, but there is no assurance that the IRS will not challenge this status[151]. Financial Management and Debt - The company amended its Senior Secured Term Loan Credit Agreement in February 2025, securing a total of $1.1 billion in refinancing term loan facilities[213]. - The Refinancing Term Loan B-2 Facility amounts to $700 million, maturing on May 24, 2028, while the Refinancing Term Loan B-3 Facility totals $400 million, maturing on February 1, 2031[213]. - A debt extinguishment loss of $5 million was recorded in Q1 2025 due to the refinancing[213]. - In the second half of 2025, the company repaid $115 million of outstanding principal under the Refinancing Term Loan B-2 Facility[214].

XPO reported a January tonnage surprise on Thursday, sending shares more than 11% higher in early trading. A modest uptick in demand from the less-than-truckload carrier’s manufacturing customers combined with in-house growth initiatives resulted in no change to tonnage during the month. That ended an 18-month stretch of year-over-year declines. Manufacturing data released on Monday showed industrial activity turned positive for the first time in 12 months. The Purchasing Managers’ Index registered a 52. ...

XPO (NYSE:XPO) Q4 2025 Earnings call February 05, 2026 08:30 AM ET Company ParticipantsAli Faghri - Chief Strategy OfficerBruce Chan - DirectorJason Seidl - Managing DirectorJon Chappell - Managing DirectorKen Hoexter - Managing DirectorKyle Wismans - CFOMario Harik - Chairman and CEORavi Shanker - Managing DirectorRicha Harnain - DirectorScott Group - Managing DirectorStephanie Moore - SVP, Equity ResearchConference Call ParticipantsBrian Ossenbeck - Managing Director, Senior AnalystChris Wetherbee - Senio ...

XPO (NYSE:XPO) Q4 2025 Earnings call February 05, 2026 08:30 AM ET Company ParticipantsAli Faghri - Chief Strategy OfficerBruce Chan - DirectorJason Seidl - Managing DirectorJon Chappell - Managing DirectorKen Hoexter - Managing DirectorKyle Wismans - CFOMario Harik - Chairman and CEORavi Shanker - Executive DirectorRicha Harnain - DirectorScott Group - Managing DirectorStephanie Moore - SVP, Equity ResearchConference Call ParticipantsBrian Ossenbeck - Managing Director, Senior AnalystChris Wetherbee - Seni ...

XPO (NYSE:XPO) Q4 2025 Earnings call February 05, 2026 08:30 AM ET Speaker11Welcome to the XPO fourth quarter 2025 earnings conference call and webcast. My name is Shamali, and I will be your operator for today's call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. If you have a question, please dial *1 on your telephone keypad. Please limit yourself to one question when you come up in the queue. If you have additional questions, you're welcom ...

分组1 - XPO reported quarterly earnings of $0.88 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.76 per share, but down from $0.89 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of +16.25% [1] - The company achieved revenues of $2.01 billion for the quarter ended December 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.47% and up from $1.92 billion year-over-year [2] - XPO has outperformed the S&P 500 with a 32.1% increase in shares since the beginning of the year, compared to the S&P 500's gain of 0.5% [3] 分组2 - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.79 on revenues of $2 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $4.27 on revenues of $8.36 billion [7] - The Transportation - Truck industry, to which XPO belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 5% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating potential challenges for stock performance [8] - Another trucking company, Saia, is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.90 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of -33.1%, with revenues projected at $780.61 million, down 1.1% from the previous year [9][10]