美国干了件好事，逼迫印度向中国投诚，令西方最担心的事情已出现

Core Insights - Trump's tariffs on Indian goods, starting from April 2025, have significantly impacted India's economy, particularly its export sectors like textiles and steel, leading to a trade imbalance [1] - India's trade deficit with China reached $99.2 billion in the 2024-2025 fiscal year, highlighting the challenges in its economic relations [3] - The relationship between India and China is evolving, with India showing signs of rapprochement, including high-level visits and the resumption of tourist visas [5][7] Group 1: Economic Impact - Trump's 26% tariffs on Indian goods have caused a substantial shock to India's economy, which heavily relies on exports to the U.S. [1] - India's exports to the U.S. grew by 25.6% in early 2025, while imports only increased by 8.2%, exacerbating the trade imbalance [1] - Foreign direct investment in India has plummeted by 96.5%, leaving only $35.3 billion, as many companies relocate to countries like Vietnam [3] Group 2: Diplomatic Relations - India's response to China's major hydropower project on the Brahmaputra River has been surprisingly subdued, indicating a shift in diplomatic posture [5] - High-level visits from Indian officials to China suggest a thawing of relations, with discussions on border patrol agreements and cooperation [5][7] - The Indian government is recognizing the need to strengthen ties with China for economic stability, as reliance on Western support diminishes [9] Group 3: Strategic Concerns - Western nations are increasingly anxious about India's growing dependence on China, which could alter the strategic balance in the Indo-Pacific region [9][11] - The evolving relationship between India and China poses a strategic risk for Western allies, who fear India may drift away from their influence [9][11] - India's agricultural sector faces severe challenges due to U.S. demands for market openness, compounded by the adverse effects of tariffs [11]