倒计时一周！全体买房人注意，下半年，更猛的刺激政策在路上了？

Market Overview - The real estate market in 2025 shows a stark contrast, with first-tier cities experiencing a recovery and steady price increases, while third and fourth-tier cities face high inventory and price pressures [3][5] - New home prices in first-tier cities like Beijing, Shanghai, and Shenzhen rose by 2.5% year-on-year, with the existing home turnover period in core areas reduced to 8 months [5] - In contrast, some third and fourth-tier cities have seen prices drop back to 2018 levels, despite developers offering discounts of up to 15% [5] Rental Market - The implementation of the Housing Rental Regulations has effectively addressed industry issues such as deposit withholding, enhancing the quality of rental housing [6] - The rental market is increasingly dominated by the post-90s generation, with 40% open to lifelong renting [6] - Local governments are actively converting existing housing into affordable rental units, with some cities providing smart home features at 20% below market rent [6] Supply-Side Reform - Real estate developers are accelerating inventory reduction, with significant price cuts observed, such as a drop from 4 million to 2.45 million [8] - Financing costs for developers have decreased to 3.09%, and new housing standards are being enforced to include aging-friendly facilities [8] - The land market shows a split, with residential land sales increasing by 27.5% in 300 cities, while first-tier cities remain highly competitive [8] Policy Adjustments - Over 50 cities have introduced policies to lower home purchase thresholds, with some cities reducing the down payment for second homes to 15% [10] - Mortgage rates are declining, with the rate for existing home loans expected to drop below 3% later in the year [10] - The central government has emphasized stabilizing the real estate market, with measures including a 0.5% reserve requirement ratio cut and a focus on ensuring project delivery [13] Central Government's Direction - The 2025 Government Work Report highlights the importance of stabilizing the real estate market, with various local initiatives to support housing supply and affordability [11][13] - Policies such as full tax rebates and increased affordable housing supply are being implemented to stimulate demand [13] - The government is also promoting green building standards and linking housing sales to educational resources, showcasing a commitment to sustainable development [13]