Analysts Estimate Exxon Mobil (XOM) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for

Core Viewpoint - Exxon Mobil (XOM) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings due to lower revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, with the actual results being a significant factor influencing its near-term stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for Exxon’s quarterly earnings is $1.49 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 30.4%. Revenues are projected to be $82.82 billion, down 11% from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised 10.74% higher, indicating a reassessment by analysts of their initial estimates [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that the Most Accurate Estimate for Exxon is the same as the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0%. This suggests no recent differing analyst views from the consensus [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Exxon was expected to post earnings of $1.74 per share but actually reported $1.76, achieving a surprise of +1.15%. Over the past four quarters, the company has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates [13][14]. Investment Considerations - Despite the potential for an earnings beat, Exxon does not currently appear to be a compelling candidate for such an outcome, and investors should consider other factors when making investment decisions [17].