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中国生物制药(01177.HK):创新药占比有望不断提升 看好公司价值重估
Ge Long Hui·2025-07-26 03:35

Core Viewpoint - China National Pharmaceutical Group is a leading innovative research and R&D-driven pharmaceutical group in China, with a focus on both generic and innovative drug development [1][2][3] Group 1: Financial Performance - Revenue is projected to grow from 23.647 billion yuan in 2020 to 28.866 billion yuan in 2024, while net profit remains stable due to increased investment in innovative drug R&D [1] - The revenue from chemical generics is expected to recover to 16.81 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a growth of 3.1%, with the tenth batch of centralized procurement products accounting for only 1% of total revenue [1] Group 2: Innovation and Product Pipeline - The company has significantly increased its R&D pipeline, with the number of innovative products launched rising from 3 to 18 since 2022, including 9 innovative drugs [2] - The proportion of revenue from innovative products has increased from 12% in 2018 to 41.8% in 2024, with expectations to exceed 50% in 2025 and reach 60% by 2027 [2] Group 3: Strategic Goals and Market Position - The company aims to establish a strong global competitive position in oncology, respiratory, liver disease, and surgical/pain management, with plans for business development transactions to become a regular source of income starting in 2025 [3] - The projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 34.062 billion yuan, 36.602 billion yuan, and 39.674 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 3.932 billion yuan, 4.288 billion yuan, and 4.743 billion yuan [3]