Should You Buy Robinhood Markets While It's Below $110?

Core Viewpoint - Robinhood has experienced significant stock price growth, with shares rising from around $40 to over $100, resulting in a market capitalization of nearly $90 billion and a year-to-date increase of 173% [2] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Robinhood reported a 50% year-over-year revenue increase to $927 million, driven by a 77% surge in transaction-based revenue, which reached $583 million [3] - Net interest income rose 14% to $290 million, supported by a larger base of interest-earning assets and increased securities lending [3] - The company achieved a net income of $336 million, marking a 114% year-over-year increase [4] Group 2: Customer Growth and Business Expansion - Robinhood gained $2 billion in net deposits in the quarter, bringing total net deposits to a record $18 billion [4] - The subscription service Robinhood Gold saw its subscribers nearly double from 1.7 million to 3.2 million year over year [4] - The company is diversifying its business by acquiring TradePMR for $300 million and Bitstamp for $200 million, aiming to enter the wealth management sector and expand its market reach [7] Group 3: Future Growth Strategy - CEO Vlad Tenev emphasized the goal of building a global financial ecosystem, expanding from retail to serving businesses and institutions, and growing beyond the U.S. market [8] - Robinhood now operates nine different businesses, each generating at least $100 million in annualized revenue, nearly double from a couple of years ago [8] - Future growth opportunities include 24-hour trading, 401(k) administration, and employee stock plan administration [8] Group 4: Stock Valuation and Risks - The stock trades at approximately 67 times forward earnings estimates, which is near an all-time high [12] - Since its IPO, the share count has increased by 5.6%, leading to potential dilution of ownership stakes for investors [11] - Management is addressing share dilution by reducing share-based compensation and increasing share repurchase authorization from $1 billion to $1.5 billion [11] Group 5: Market Position and Investor Sentiment - 75% of Robinhood's 25 million funded accounts are held by millennials and Gen Z, positioning the platform for long-term growth as these users accumulate wealth [15] - Despite the stock's near all-time highs and stretched valuation, long-term investors may consider holding or dollar-cost averaging [16]