Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that while the "anti-involution" trend may be coming to an end, speculation on price increases, particularly in tungsten, is likely to continue due to rising prices and supply constraints [1] - Tungsten concentrate prices have reached new highs since May 13, driven by tightening supply and stricter environmental policies, with predictions of a supply-demand gap exceeding 4,600 tons by 2025 [1] Group 2 - There is a significant cognitive gap between institutions and retail investors, as institutional funds may not always translate positive news into stock price increases [6][11] - The market reality shows that over 80% of stocks have institutional funds, but the key factor is whether these funds are actively participating in trading [11] - The "institutional inventory" data indicates that institutional participation can significantly influence stock price movements, as seen in the case of Moutai, where institutional activity decreased before the stock price fell [11][13] Group 3 - The demand for tungsten is expected to grow in sectors like photovoltaics, military, and nuclear fusion, with companies like Xiamen Tungsten and Zhangyuan Tungsten appearing to be promising investment targets [6][14] - However, these positive indicators may already be priced in, and true investment opportunities often arise from discrepancies between market expectations and actual performance [14] - Investors should be cautious of superficial positive news and utilize data analysis tools to assess institutional behavior and actual fund movements [16]
钨矿股有惊人利好,但背后资金更值得注意!
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-07-27 20:05