ETF资金逆势抄底债基，国开债券ETF(159651)历史持有2年盈利概率为100.00%

Group 1 - The bond market is experiencing significant adjustments, with pure bond funds showing negative average returns since July, leading to increased large redemptions [1] - Over 400 bond funds have reported losses this year, particularly those heavily invested in long-term interest rate bonds, with more than half of bond funds showing negative performance since July [1] - The yield on major interbank bonds has generally decreased, with the 30-year government bond yield down by 2 basis points to 1.9275% and the 10-year policy bank bond yield down by 1.75 basis points to 1.81% [1] Group 2 - The National Development Bank bond ETF (159651) is showing a mixed market, with a recent price of 106.18 yuan and a cumulative increase of 1.65% over the past year [2] - The trading volume for the National Development Bank bond ETF has been active, with a turnover rate of 4.63% and a total transaction value of 35.09 million yuan on the latest trading day [2] - The National Development Bank bond ETF has achieved a net value increase of 4.50% over the past two years, with a historical monthly profit probability of 88.12% [2] Group 3 - The management fee for the National Development Bank bond ETF is 0.15%, and the custody fee is 0.05%, making it one of the lowest in comparable funds [3] - The tracking error for the National Development Bank bond ETF over the past two months is 0.014%, indicating the highest tracking precision among comparable funds [3] - The ETF closely tracks the China Bond - 0-3 Year National Development Bank Bond Index, which includes policy bank bonds with a maturity of up to three years [3]