是什么让二手车增速再次落后新车？

Core Insights - The new car market has outperformed the used car market in the first half of 2025, with new car sales exceeding 15 million units, showing a year-on-year growth of over 10% [2][3] - Used car transactions reached 9.57 million units, with a modest year-on-year growth of only 1.99%, falling short of industry expectations [2][3] Used Car Market Performance - The used car market has been overshadowed by the new car market, with a significant shift in consumer preference towards new vehicles due to frequent price reductions [3] - In June, used car transaction volume increased to 1.66 million units, marking a month-on-month growth of 3.34% and a year-on-year increase of 9.12%, but the average inventory cycle extended to 43 days [3][11] - Despite challenges, industry sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with 53.57% of participants in a recent conference predicting a transaction volume increase of less than 10% for the year [3] Pricing Trends - The average transaction price of used cars has been on a downward trend, influenced by the new car market's promotional pricing, which has disrupted the existing pricing structure [4] - The average retail price of used new energy vehicles (NEVs) is approximately 96,000 yuan, with a notable increase in the transaction share of models priced between 80,000 and 150,000 yuan [6] New Energy Vehicle Insights - The penetration rate of used NEVs has been rising, with retail sales of NEVs reaching 5.47 million units in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year growth of 33.3% [6] - The share of used NEVs in the overall used car market is expected to grow, with the penetration rate increasing from 8% at the beginning of the year to 9.9% by May [6][8] - The majority of used NEVs sold are pure electric vehicles, accounting for nearly 75% of retail volume, with significant contributions from brands like Tesla and BYD [7][8] Market Outlook - The second half of 2025 is anticipated to see a market recovery, driven by seasonal demand and the potential for new car price stabilization [11] - The adjustment of consumption tax on super luxury cars may benefit high-value used car dealers, although the overall impact on the used car market is expected to be limited [12]