Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-07-28 03:02Group 1 - Morgan Stanley has adjusted its ratings for the airline sector, believing that American Airlines (AAL.US), Delta Air Lines (DAL.US), and United Airlines (UAL.US) have gained a competitive edge over low-cost carriers [2] - Analyst Jamie Baker noted that the revenue guidance for the three major airlines is significantly stronger, and profit margins are steadily increasing [2] - The remaining three catalysts in the industry are seen as unfavorable for low-cost airlines, as their business model requires ample funding, sufficient aircraft, and enough pilots [2] Group 2 - Morgan Stanley downgraded Frontier Airlines (ULCC.US) from "Overweight" to "Neutral" due to ongoing adverse factors facing low-cost carriers [2] - Southwest Airlines (LUV.US) was also downgraded from "Overweight" to "Neutral," despite its strong profitability record and loyal customer base, due to recent operational issues affecting stock prices and investor patience [2] - The outlook for airlines entering international markets is expected to outperform Southwest Airlines in the short term [2] Group 3 - Morgan Stanley upgraded American Airlines from "Neutral" to "Overweight," anticipating that revenue performance will boost earnings per share in 2024 [3] - The forecast for 2024 earnings per share was raised from $2.50 to $3.00 [3] - The key reason for the rating upgrade is the current importance of revenue momentum and profit margins favoring the three major airlines, along with reduced concerns regarding balance sheets [3]