苹果折叠屏iPhone呼之欲出？华为高端市场遭遇劲敌

Core Insights - Apple's first foldable iPhone is expected to launch in the second half of 2026, featuring a 5.5-inch outer screen and a 7.8-inch inner screen, which may reshape the foldable smartphone market [2] - Global foldable smartphone shipments are projected to reach 19.8 million units in 2025, with Samsung holding a leading market share of 35.4%, while Huawei follows closely with 34.3% [2] - Apple's entry into the foldable market could pose unprecedented challenges for Huawei, particularly in high-end user competition and technology standard setting [2] Group 1 - Apple's foldable iPhone will run on iOS 27, optimized for split-screen interaction and multi-tasking, allowing seamless integration with Mac and iPad devices [2] - The foldable iPhone's production capacity in its first year is expected to reach around 10 million units, with a price range of 14,000 to 20,000 yuan, targeting high-end business users [3] - Huawei's market share in China's 10,000 yuan smartphone segment is currently 72%, but Apple's entry may disrupt this advantage [3] Group 2 - The introduction of Apple's foldable iPhone may lead to a risk of high-end user attrition for Huawei, as Apple's ecosystem could attract users seeking comprehensive integration [3] - Despite Huawei's strengths in distributed capabilities with its HarmonyOS, Apple's iOS has a more mature developer ecosystem, which may result in higher application adaptation efficiency [4] - Huawei's market share in the European foldable smartphone market has increased from 12% in 2024 to 18%, but Apple's global brand influence could limit its expansion [4]