Old Dominion's Q2 Earnings Coming Up: What's in Store for the Stock?

Core Insights - Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) is set to report its second-quarter 2025 results on July 30, with expectations of a decline in earnings and revenue compared to the previous year [1][5]. Earnings Performance - ODFL's earnings have exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 2.67% [1][2]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for Q2 2025 is projected at $1.29, reflecting a 12.84% decrease year over year, and has been revised down by 1.53% in the last 60 days [3][5]. Revenue Expectations - The revenue estimate for Q2 2025 is $1.42 billion, indicating a 5.55% decline from the previous year, attributed to weak freight demand and inflationary pressures [4][5]. - Revenue from Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) services is expected to be $1.41 billion, down 5.3%, while other services are projected to generate $16.5 million, a 20% increase year over year [7]. Market Conditions - The freight market downturn is anticipated to have significantly impacted ODFL's performance, with reduced shipments and rates due to declining demand for freight services [6][8]. - Geopolitical uncertainties and tariff-related issues are also contributing factors to the expected revenue decline [4][5]. Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict an earnings beat for ODFL, as it has an Earnings ESP of -0.68% and a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) [8].