Group 1 - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose slightly to 4.42%, while the 30-year yield increased to 4.96%, reflecting investor expectations ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting [1] - The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain the current interest rate of 4.25% - 4.50%, with a 97% probability of no change according to futures markets [4] - The upcoming economic data releases include job vacancies, ADP employment report, weekly unemployment claims, and the non-farm payroll report, which will be closely monitored by traders [4][5] Group 2 - A temporary trade agreement between the EU and the U.S. has been announced, reducing proposed tariffs on EU goods from 30% to 15%, which may ease trade tensions [3] - The U.S. Treasury Department has significantly raised its borrowing expectations for Q3 to $1.01 trillion, nearly doubling the previous estimate of $554 billion due to increased bond issuance following the debt ceiling increase [5] - The issuance of $154 billion in bonds by the U.S. Treasury includes $80 billion in 6-week bills, $44 billion in 7-year notes, and $30 billion in 2-year floating rate notes [6]
投资者期待美联储利率决定 10年期美债收益率小幅走高
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-07-29 00:41