长久期国债迎来交易价值，国债ETF5至10年机会凸显

Group 1 - Long-term government bonds have become attractive for trading after significant adjustments last week [1] - The impact of production reduction measures due to anti-involution on future demand and actual inflation needs to be observed in Q4 and Q1 of the following year, with potential for interest rates to decline again [1] - In the credit bond market, the sustainability of rising bond yields needs to be monitored, and if the market rebounds, credit spreads may also narrow [1] Group 2 - In the convertible bond market, attention is recommended on anti-involution sectors that are relatively undervalued, as well as on themes like nuclear fusion, brain-machine interfaces, solid-state batteries, and robotics that may see rotation [2] - The valuation of convertible bonds continues to rise, with prices reaching historical highs due to ongoing capital inflows into convertible assets [2] - The expectation for the 10-year interest rate is to rise to the range of 4.42% to 4.50%, influenced by conservative statements from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and upcoming inflation data [2]