Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the impact of President Trump's decision to shorten the negotiation deadline for the Russia-Ukraine conflict to 10-12 days, which has intensified pressure on Russia and raised concerns about oil supply, leading to a significant increase in international oil prices [1][2][3] - On July 28, the closing price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil for September futures rose by $1.55 to $66.71 per barrel, an increase of 2.38%, while Brent crude oil for September futures increased by $1.60 to $70.04 per barrel, a rise of 2.34% [1][2] - The European Union has implemented new sanctions against Russia, including lowering the price cap on Russian oil, which will take effect in January next year, but Trump's hardening stance has led traders to anticipate a tightening of the European diesel market and increased risks of redirection of Russian oil exports [2][3] Group 2 - The concept of energy soft power is emphasized, where Trump's decision mirrors Saudi Arabia's approach in the Russia-Ukraine negotiations, using time pressure to create opportunities and transforming oil tariff threats (hard power) into negotiation leverage (soft power), which stimulates investor behavior and pushes oil prices higher [3] - The articles discuss the systemic balance of geopolitical dialectics, where the U.S. has reached a trade agreement with the EU to reduce global risks while simultaneously sanctioning Russia, reflecting a "unity of contradictions" approach to stabilize multi-polar negotiations [3] - OPEC and non-OPEC oil-producing countries reaffirmed their commitment to production policies and compensation reduction plans during a video conference, reinforcing the collaborative effect under rule constraints, aligning with the theory of "interwoven soft and hard power" [3]
邓正红能源软实力：市场担忧原油供应前景 贸易战风险降低 国际油价走高
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-07-29 06:28