21专访｜尹稚：未来人口规模仍然较大，倒逼城市走集约化道路

Core Insights - The central urban work conference marks a significant shift in China's urbanization from rapid growth to stable development, emphasizing quality over quantity in urban development [1][4][12] - The focus will shift towards optimizing the modern urban system, enhancing the comprehensive carrying capacity of cities, and promoting high-quality urban renewal [5][22][27] Group 1: Urban Development Challenges - Urbanization has reached a turning point, with population growth entering a negative phase and urbanization growth stabilizing, necessitating a focus on quality improvement and intrinsic development [4][12] - Key challenges include insufficient social services relative to economic growth, unsustainable land finance models, and the need for resilient urban infrastructure to cope with climate change [7][9][10] - The dual flow of urban and rural factors faces barriers, and urban governance lacks coordination, complicating the response to multi-objective governance needs [9][11] Group 2: New Urban Development Goals - The conference outlines a goal of building innovative, livable, beautiful, resilient, civilized, and smart modern cities, with a shift towards a people-centered development approach [5][18] - Emphasis will be placed on efficient and intensive urban development, with a focus on improving living conditions and addressing long-term needs in employment, education, and healthcare [14][27] - The transition from a focus on quantity to quality in urban development signifies the end of the era of rapid capital turnover in real estate, moving towards sustainable and gradual profit generation [12][13][30] Group 3: Urban System Optimization - Optimizing the modern urban system is prioritized to address the fundamental spatial structure of urbanization, promoting coordinated development among large, medium, and small cities [22][24] - The development of urban clusters and metropolitan areas is essential to alleviate the pressure of population concentration in individual cities, fostering a networked urban development model [25][26] - Enhancing the comprehensive carrying capacity of cities is crucial, focusing on increasing land value and efficiency while reducing per capita resource consumption [22][24] Group 4: Urban Renewal Strategies - High-quality urban renewal must address both existing issues and future demands, integrating various objectives beyond mere housing improvements [27][28] - The approach to urban renewal will shift from a singular focus on housing conditions to a more comprehensive strategy that includes infrastructure and public service enhancements [27][28] - The need for a stable housing rental system is emphasized, particularly for new urban residents, to adapt to increasing residential mobility and demand for rental properties [30]