Will Green Plains Renewable Energy (GPRE) Report Negative Q2 Earnings? What You Should Know

Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates Green Plains Renewable Energy (GPRE) to report a year-over-year increase in earnings despite lower revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - GPRE is expected to post a quarterly loss of $0.28 per share, reflecting a year-over-year change of +26.3%, while revenues are projected to be $592.3 million, down 4.3% from the previous year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 44.44% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that recent analyst revisions may provide more accurate predictions [8]. - A positive Earnings ESP is a strong indicator of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3, with a historical success rate of nearly 70% for such combinations [10]. Current Analyst Sentiment - For GPRE, the Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -9.09%, indicating a bearish outlook from analysts [12]. - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, complicating predictions for an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, GPRE was expected to post a loss of $0.51 per share but actually reported a loss of -$0.88, resulting in a surprise of -72.55% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, GPRE has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once [14]. Conclusion - GPRE does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, and investors should consider additional factors when making decisions regarding the stock ahead of its earnings release [17].