Core Viewpoint - National CineMedia (NCMI) is expected to report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite higher revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, with a consensus outlook indicating a loss of $0.10 per share, reflecting an 11.1% decrease from the previous year, while revenues are projected to be $56.37 million, up 3.1% year-over-year [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is anticipated to be released on August 5, and the stock price may increase if the actual results exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 13.33% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading indicates the likely deviation of actual earnings from the consensus estimate, with a positive reading being a strong predictor of an earnings beat [8][10]. - For National CineMedia, the Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -5.00%, combined with a Zacks Rank of 5, making it difficult to predict an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, National CineMedia was expected to post a loss of $0.20 per share but actually reported a loss of $0.24, resulting in a surprise of -20.00% [13]. - Over the last four quarters, the company has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once [14]. Industry Comparison - Stagwell (STGW), another player in the advertising and marketing industry, is expected to report earnings per share of $0.18 for the same quarter, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 28.6%, with revenues projected at $697.25 million, up 3.9% [18][19]. - Stagwell's consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, but it has an Earnings ESP of -14.29%, indicating challenges in predicting an earnings beat [20].
Analysts Estimate National CineMedia (NCMI) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for