Tesla Valuation 'Could Far Exceed Current Levels': Analyst Sees 2 Segments Driving Most Upside (And It's Not Cars)

Core Viewpoint - Tesla Inc. is expanding its ventures beyond electric vehicles, focusing on robotaxis, full self-driving (FSD) technology, and humanoid robots, which could significantly increase its future valuation [1][3]. Segment Summaries - Robotaxi Expansion: Tesla is expanding its robotaxi service beyond Austin, Texas, aiming to reach half of the U.S. population by year-end, although this is considered a stretch target. The initial launch in Texas exceeded expectations [4][3]. - Full Self-Driving (FSD): Adoption rates for FSD have increased by 25% since the launch of FSD V.12 in North America. Tesla is also working on FSD approval in Europe and hopes to unblock the service in China [4][5]. - Humanoid Robots: The upcoming Optimus Bot is projected to have a significant impact, with a goal of producing one million units per year within five years. The valuation for humanoid robots is based on their use in manufacturing jobs, but potential applications in home and retail could increase their value significantly [5][6]. - Valuation Estimates: The analyst's price target for Tesla has been raised from $319 to $325, with an upside valuation suggesting a potential target of $413. Key segment valuations include: - Megapacks: $134.2 billion - Robotaxis: $649.2 billion - FSD: $185.6 billion - Humanoid Robots: $36.6 billion - Cars: $136.5 billion [7][9]. - Market Performance: Tesla's stock is currently down 1.5% to $320.83, with a year-to-date decline of 15.4% in 2025. The stock has traded between $182.00 and $488.54 over the past 52 weeks [8].