Core Viewpoint - The relationship between President Trump and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has deteriorated, with Trump threatening to dismiss Powell amid budget overruns on the Fed's headquarters renovation. Powell's future as chairman is uncertain, with potential successors being discussed [1][9]. Group 1: Powell's Tenure and Achievements - Powell, the only Federal Reserve chairman without an economics background, has navigated a politically polarized environment, demonstrating exceptional balance and survival skills [2]. - Under Powell's leadership, the Fed implemented significant monetary policy innovations, including a shift to a framework prioritizing "broadly inclusive maximum employment" and the introduction of "average inflation targeting" [4]. - The Fed's response to the COVID-19 pandemic included unprecedented measures such as emergency rate cuts and unlimited quantitative easing, which helped restore market confidence and led to a rapid economic recovery [3][4]. Group 2: Challenges and Criticisms - Powell faced criticism for initially downplaying inflation signals in 2021, which led to a delayed response and aggressive rate hikes in 2022, resulting in significant market turmoil [6][7]. - The Fed's unconventional monetary policies exacerbated wealth inequality, benefiting the top 1% while negatively impacting lower-income groups [7]. - Powell's conservative stance on cryptocurrency regulation has drawn criticism, particularly as the Fed has restricted banks from supporting decentralized token issuance [8]. Group 3: Potential Successors - Trump is expected to announce a nominee for Powell's successor soon, with potential candidates including Kevin Walsh, Kevin Hassett, and current Fed governor Chris Waller, each with distinct policy perspectives [1][9][10]. - Walsh is known for his hawkish stance and criticism of Powell's pandemic-era decisions, while Hassett has a strong understanding of White House dynamics but is committed to Fed independence [10][12]. - Waller, who has been influential within the Fed, has shifted from a hawkish to a more dovish stance recently, aligning with Trump's views on economic management [12][13].
美联储新掌门猜想
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-07-29 17:39