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从50天减至10天!特朗普确定对俄罗斯最后通牒新期限,原油盘中大涨超4%
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen·2025-07-29 20:47

Core Viewpoint - President Trump's ultimatum to Russia has been significantly shortened from 50 days to 10 days, creating heightened tensions and impacting global oil prices [1][3][11]. Group 1: Ultimatum and Sanctions - Trump has set a new deadline of August 8 for Russia to reach a ceasefire agreement regarding the Ukraine conflict, a reduction from the previous deadline of September 2 [1]. - The potential "secondary sanctions" could target countries that continue to purchase Russian oil, which may affect major buyers like India [1][7]. - Trump's warning of imposing "very severe, approximately 100% tariffs" on Russia if no agreement is reached within the stipulated time frame indicates a serious escalation in trade tensions [2]. Group 2: Oil Price Impact - Following Trump's announcement, international crude oil futures saw significant increases, with WTI crude rising nearly 4.6% to $69.76 and Brent crude increasing over 4.3% to $73.08, marking the largest intraday gains in over six weeks [3]. - Analysts express concerns that the new deadline could tighten the supply of Russian oil and fuel in the global market, potentially leading to further price increases [6]. Group 3: Geopolitical Reactions - The EU has recently announced new sanctions against Russia, which includes penalties against Indian company Nayara Energy, indicating a broader geopolitical response to the conflict [6]. - Trump's remarks about not worrying about the impact of sanctions on the oil market suggest confidence in increasing domestic oil production to offset any potential supply disruptions [8]. - Political analysts speculate that India and other major oil-importing countries may reduce their imports of Russian energy, either voluntarily or due to tariff pressures, which could financially impact the Russian government [9].