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从50天减至10天!特朗普确定对俄罗斯最后通牒新期限 原油盘中大涨超4%
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen·2025-07-29 21:04

Group 1 - President Trump has set a new 10-day ultimatum for Russia to reach a ceasefire agreement regarding the Ukraine conflict, significantly shortening the previous 50-day deadline to August 8 [1][2] - The announcement has led to a substantial increase in international crude oil prices, with WTI crude rising to $69.76, a nearly 4.6% increase, and Brent crude reaching $73.08, up over 4.3%, marking the largest intraday gains since June 17 [5] - Analysts express concern that if the ultimatum is enforced, it could tighten the supply of Russian oil and fuel in the global market, especially as the EU has recently announced new sanctions against Russia [8] Group 2 - The potential for secondary sanctions against countries purchasing Russian oil could impact major buyers like India, as the U.S. views such purchases as tacit support for Russia [9][10] - Trump's administration is currently negotiating with countries like India regarding trade agreements, raising questions about the likelihood of imposing sanctions on these trading partners [9][10] - Political analysts suggest that India and other major oil importers may reduce their imports of Russian energy, either voluntarily or due to tariff pressures, which could financially impact the Russian government [9][11] Group 3 - The Kremlin has responded to Trump's ultimatum by indicating that President Putin is unlikely to change his stance, despite the pressure from the U.S. [13] - Recent escalations in Russian missile and drone attacks on Ukraine suggest that diplomatic efforts have not yielded progress, as indicated by the lack of response from Russia to Trump's ultimatum [12][13] - The situation reflects a complex strategic calculation for both the U.S. and Russia, with potential implications for global oil markets and geopolitical dynamics [11][13]