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火星移民希望渺小?马斯克“醒了”: 有生之年或难实现星际旅行
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-07-30 03:28

Core Viewpoint - The prospects for Mars colonization appear dim, as Elon Musk acknowledges that interstellar travel may not be achievable within his lifetime due to significant issues with the Starship program [1][12]. Group 1: Starship's Technical Challenges - Starship, touted as the world's most powerful rocket, has faced multiple failures during its testing phases, including a recent explosion that destroyed the test platform [3][5]. - Despite its impressive specifications, including a length of 120 meters and a launch thrust of 7400 tons, the Starship's testing results have been disappointing, raising concerns about its reliability for future missions [3][5]. - The successful development of Starship is critical for the U.S. plans to return to the Moon and eventually reach Mars, as it serves as the foundation for subsequent spacecraft designs [7][9]. Group 2: Implications for Mars Colonization - The ongoing issues with Starship make the goal of Mars colonization increasingly difficult, with Musk's previous timelines for crewed missions to Mars now seeming unrealistic [9][12]. - The scientific challenges of making Mars habitable are immense, with experts suggesting that significant advancements may take over a century to achieve [16][20]. - The complexity of the Starship system means that any failure in its components could jeopardize the entire mission, highlighting the inherent risks in space exploration [26]. Group 3: Industry Perspective - The aerospace industry requires a methodical approach to development, as evidenced by the historical challenges faced by various space programs [21][24]. - While some view Musk's willingness to take risks with Starship as a positive trait, others remain skeptical about the feasibility of rapid advancements in space travel [23][24]. - The future of space exploration hinges on continued technological breakthroughs, but the timeline for achieving significant milestones like Mars colonization remains uncertain [18][20].