耶鲁大学研究揭示关税政策或致美国物价短期飙升，家庭年均损失达2400美元

Core Insights - The current U.S. tariff policy is projected to increase domestic prices by 1.8% in the short term, resulting in an average additional annual expenditure of $2,400 per American household [1][2] - This price increase is expected to push inflation levels close to double the Federal Reserve's target of 2%, significantly impacting consumer purchasing power, especially for low-income families [2][3] - The indirect effects of the tariff policy may persist for several years, potentially leading to delayed price adjustments and long-term economic consequences, such as reduced investment and job cuts in manufacturing [3][4] Economic Impact - The tariff policy is seen as a double-edged sword, providing short-term protection for certain domestic industries while increasing consumer costs and risking retaliatory measures from trade partners [4] - If the tariff policy continues until 2025, the average annual loss for American households could further escalate, prompting calls for policymakers to reassess the net benefits of tariffs [4] - Rising inflation pressures may compel the Federal Reserve to adopt a more aggressive stance on interest rates, which could hinder corporate investment and job market recovery, exacerbating the risk of economic stagnation [4]