ADP数据公布前，美联储9月维持利率不变的概率为34%

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates in July with a probability of 97.9%, while the likelihood of a 25 basis point rate cut is only 2.1% [1] Summary by Relevant Categories Interest Rate Projections - In September, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged is 34.0% [1] - The cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September is 64.7% [1] - The probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 1.4% [1]