美国第二季度实际GDP超预期 特朗普急喊降息！

Group 1 - The annualized GDP growth rate for the U.S. in the second quarter is reported at 3%, a significant recovery from a contraction of 0.5% in the previous quarter, primarily driven by net exports contributing 5 percentage points to GDP [1] - Following the GDP report, spot gold prices fell below $3320 per ounce, while the U.S. dollar index rose over 10 points, and the euro dropped below 1.15 against the dollar [2] - Economists express concerns about the underlying economic conditions, noting that the overall GDP change does not reflect the true state of the economy, as growth was heavily influenced by volatile factors such as inventory and trade [2] Group 2 - Economists predict weak economic growth in the second half of the year, despite recent trade agreements announced by the White House, as the actual tariff rates remain among the highest since the 1930s [3] - The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates in its upcoming meeting, with indicators showing a cooling labor market and only slight economic growth in several districts [3] - The U.S. may have passed the worst phase of the trade war, with recent agreements potentially easing some tariff burdens, but a full economic recovery will take time due to the high tariff environment affecting consumer and business confidence [3]