顶层会议再提促消费，服务消费补贴有望加码

Group 1 - The central government emphasizes boosting consumption and breaking the "involution" to promote domestic circulation and achieve economic goals for the year [1] - The focus on domestic demand policies is highlighted as a stable direction to counter external uncertainties, with significant results from consumption-boosting policies in the first half of the year [1] - The expansion of government subsidies for home appliances from 8 categories to 12, including 3C products, indicates a potential for further subsidy expansion in the second half of the year [1] Group 2 - The estimated consumption subsidies of 138 billion for "trade-in" programs are expected to increase retail sales growth by 1.3 percentage points in the second half of the year [1] - The overall retail sales growth is projected to moderate from 5% in the first half to 4.3% in the second half, with an annual growth rate of 4.6% [1] - Investment opportunities in the consumer sector for 2025 include domestic brands and high-growth emotional consumption sectors, as well as the burgeoning silver economy and AI+ consumption [2]