Group 1 - The real estate stocks have seen significant declines, with Sunac China down 6.06% to HKD 1.55, New World Development down 5.64% to HKD 2.51, and others following suit [1] - The Central Political Bureau meeting on July 30 emphasized the need to implement the spirit of the Central Urban Work Conference, focusing on high-quality urban renewal, with limited mention of the real estate sector [1] - Real estate sales area continued to decline year-on-year in June, with cumulative investment in real estate down 11.2%, a 0.5 percentage point increase in the decline compared to the previous month [1] Group 2 - Bank of America Securities predicts a 25% year-on-year decline in industry profits for the first half of the year, but expects the annual decline to narrow to 13% due to reduced inventory impairment [2] - The average development profit margin is expected to decrease by 1 percentage point to 11%, with a 5% downward adjustment in contract sales forecasts for developers, indicating a 16% year-on-year decline in the second half [2] - The firm anticipates a recovery in the real estate industry's profits by fiscal year 2027, but has lowered the profit forecast by 3% due to unstable contract sales recovery, resulting in a corresponding 3% decrease in average target prices [2]
内房股跌幅居前 6月房地产销售面积同比继续回落 机构称地产后续政策或重在托底