贝森特当面警告，拟对华最高征税500%！俄罗斯石油，真的不能再买了？

Group 1 - The core issue revolves around the U.S. Treasury Secretary's warning to China about potential punitive tariffs of up to 500% on Russian oil imports, highlighting the escalating tensions in U.S.-China relations [1][4] - The U.S. has the authority to impose these tariffs under the 2024 Russia Energy Sanctions Enhancement Act, with China currently importing approximately 2 million barrels of Russian oil daily [4] - China's response emphasizes its commitment to energy sovereignty, indicating a firm stance against U.S. pressure [4][6] Group 2 - The geopolitical dynamics between the U.S. and China are complicated by the natural geographic advantages and energy complementarities between China and Russia, which the U.S. may be underestimating [6] - Despite U.S. threats, China has increased its imports of Russian oil by 35%, demonstrating the market's resilience against sanctions [4][6] - The ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions are not only economic but also involve deeper political factors, with concerns in the U.S. about the impact of high tariffs on domestic prices and employment [6][8] Group 3 - The relationship between the U.S. and Europe is showing signs of strain, as some European leaders express reluctance to follow U.S. sanctions against China, indicating potential fractures in the transatlantic alliance [8] - The future of U.S.-China relations remains uncertain, with both sides calculating their interests, suggesting a prolonged conflict ahead [8][9] - China's adaptability and resilience in the face of U.S. pressure may lead to a diminishing influence of the U.S. in global markets if it continues to rely on coercive tactics [9]