Ge Long Hui·2025-07-31 03:28Core Viewpoint - The growth of Pop Mart has been accompanied by skepticism, particularly regarding the breakout of LABUBU and its lifecycle, with the company focusing on seeking "certainty" in uncertain consumer interests [1] Group 1: Company Development - Over the past fifteen years, Pop Mart has evolved from its inception to a diversified entity, now aiming for global expansion [2] - The company has established an IP matrix, with the leading IP THE MONSTERS projected to generate over 3 billion yuan in revenue by 2024, alongside four IPs generating over 1 billion yuan each and thirteen IPs generating over 100 million yuan each [2] - The revenue contribution from various product categories has shifted, with figurines now accounting for 53%, plush toys at 22%, and MEGA and derivative products contributing 13% and 12% respectively [2] - Overseas revenue has surpassed 5 billion yuan, with contributions from Southeast Asia (47%), East Asia (27%), Greater China (14%), and North America and Europe (11%) [2] Group 2: Operational Strategy - The company has built a comprehensive operational system, focusing on IP discovery through systematic mechanisms, product-driven IP operations, a direct sales system for better market control, and a centralized supply chain for quality assurance [3] - The company is exploring opportunities in international markets, with North America entering a rapid growth phase, Europe poised for expansion, and Southeast Asia expected to maintain strong performance [3] - LABUBU has the potential to become a global super IP, with the company leveraging its platform-based IP operation system to scale its second and third-tier IPs [3] - The company is also looking to diversify its business, with figurines and plush toys still in the growth phase, while other categories like building blocks, accessories, and content ecosystems are expected to enhance overall business limits [3] Group 3: Financial Outlook - The company maintains its profit forecast, with the current stock price corresponding to 32/25 times adjusted P/E for 2025/2026 [4] - The company continues to hold an outperform rating with a target price of 330 HKD, reflecting a potential upside of 33% based on 43/33 times adjusted P/E for 2025/2026 [4]