云工场(2512.HK)：立足IDC “边缘计算+边缘AI”打造新引擎

Core Viewpoint - The company, YunGongChang, is one of the earliest IDC service providers in China, focusing on becoming a leading provider of edge computing and edge AI services, driven by stable upstream and downstream relationships and significant market potential in these areas [1][2]. Group 1: IDC Business Growth - The demand for IDC services is experiencing stable growth due to the digital transformation of Chinese enterprises and advancements in technologies such as cloud computing, blockchain, and IoT. Frost & Sullivan projects a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.6% for the Chinese IDC market from 2024 to 2028 [1]. - Non-self-built data centers are favored by small enterprises for their low cost and high flexibility, leading to a rapid growth in the IDC solution service market, with an expected CAGR of 17.0% from 2024 to 2028 [1]. Group 2: Market Position and Strategy - The company has established brand recognition through quality service and maintains long-term stable partnerships with upstream and downstream players, which is expected to help expand its market share [1]. - The company is continuously enriching its service product portfolio and expanding its customer base, which may facilitate rapid business expansion through a flexible and scalable business model [1]. Group 3: Edge Computing and AI Growth - Edge computing has extensive applications in IoT, AI, and augmented reality, with significant growth potential. Frost & Sullivan forecasts a CAGR of 32.9% for the edge computing market from 2024 to 2028 [2]. - The company's edge computing brand, "Lingjing Cloud," has established a cross-regional edge computing network across major cities in mainland China and plans to explore lower-tier market opportunities to capitalize on industry growth [2]. - Edge computing has become the company's second growth curve, contributing to its overall revenue growth [2]. Group 4: Financial Projections - The company anticipates revenues of RMB 881 million and RMB 1.042 billion for 2025E and 2026E, respectively, reflecting growth rates of 24% and 18%. Expected net profits are RMB 27 million and RMB 49 million, with net profit margins of 3.1% and 4.7% for the same years [2]. - Based on comparable company valuations, a target price of HKD 5.0 is set for the company, applying a 43x P/E ratio for 2026E [2].